cbb·system

Saint Francis Red Wolves

womens canonical name from espn_scoreboard prov

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.89 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.16 points per possession 0.19
PACE 71.48 possessions per game 4.73

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Saint Francis AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.24 to 1.79 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191617 0.485

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSaint Francis auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-17 2019 Saint Francis @ Robert Morris 54–65 conf_tournament
2019-03-14 2019 Saint Francis @ Sacred Heart 68–60 conf_tournament
2019-03-11 2019 Bryant @ Saint Francis 78–91 conf_tournament
2019-03-07 2019 Saint Francis @ Robert Morris 53–66 regular
2019-03-05 2019 Saint Francis @ Wagner 67–58 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Saint Francis @ Sacred Heart 51–77 regular
2019-02-26 2019 St. Francis Brooklyn @ Saint Francis 84–86 regular
2019-02-23 2019 LIU Brooklyn @ Saint Francis 75–69 regular
2019-02-19 2019 Robert Morris @ Saint Francis 66–60 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Saint Francis @ Fairleigh Dickinson 77–65 regular
2019-02-11 2019 Bryant @ Saint Francis 66–78 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Central Connecticut @ Saint Francis 68–83 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Saint Francis @ Mount St. Mary's 83–72 regular
2019-01-29 2019 Wagner @ Saint Francis 70–107 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis 68–85 regular
2019-01-21 2019 Saint Francis @ Bryant 63–66 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Saint Francis @ Central Connecticut 62–73 regular
2019-01-15 2019 Saint Francis @ St. Francis Brooklyn 65–78 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Saint Francis @ LIU Brooklyn 80–66 regular
2019-01-08 2019 Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Francis 66–68 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Fairleigh Dickinson @ Saint Francis 64–75 regular
2018-12-22 2019 Saint Francis @ Pittsburgh 75–78 regular
2018-12-19 2019 Morehead State @ Saint Francis 83–89 regular
2018-12-16 2019 Saint Francis @ Montana N 77–79 regular
2018-12-16 2019 Saint Francis @ Boise State N 64–78 regular
2018-12-08 2019 Saint Francis @ Youngstown State 56–80 regular
2018-12-06 2019 Florida Gulf Coast @ Saint Francis 83–69 regular
2018-12-01 2019 Saint Francis @ Longwood 91–88 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Duquesne @ Saint Francis 93–73 regular
2018-11-20 2019 Seton Hill @ Saint Francis 74–86 non_d1
2018-11-17 2019 Saint Francis @ Liberty 53–82 regular
2018-11-09 2019 Saint Francis @ Baylor 58–116 regular
2018-11-07 2019 Saint Francis @ Rutgers 52–96 regular