cbb·system

Saint Francis Red Wolves

womens canonical name from espn_scoreboard prov

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.83 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.24 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.23 possessions per game 4.75

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Saint Francis AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans -24.57 to 181.28 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201119 0.367

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSaint Francis auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-09 2020 Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis 73–70 conf_tournament
2020-03-06 2020 Saint Francis @ Robert Morris 29–62 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Francis 66–55 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Long Island University @ Saint Francis 71–64 regular
2020-02-18 2020 Robert Morris @ Saint Francis 66–57 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Saint Francis @ Mount St. Mary's 44–68 regular
2020-02-11 2020 Saint Francis @ Sacred Heart 48–39 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Saint Francis @ Wagner 50–55 regular
2020-02-04 2020 Central Connecticut @ Saint Francis 68–72 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Bryant @ Saint Francis 58–64 regular
2020-01-28 2020 Saint Francis @ Long Island University 53–71 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Saint Francis @ St. Francis Brooklyn 67–59 regular
2020-01-20 2020 Merrimack @ Saint Francis 71–56 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis 58–60 regular
2020-01-14 2020 Wagner @ Saint Francis 50–51 regular
2020-01-11 2020 St. Francis Brooklyn @ Saint Francis 72–82 regular
2020-01-08 2020 Saint Francis @ Fairleigh Dickinson 47–56 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Saint Francis @ Central Connecticut 64–52 regular
2020-01-02 2020 Saint Francis @ Bryant 63–60 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Bucknell @ Saint Francis 70–46 regular
2019-12-19 2020 Liberty @ Saint Francis 71–52 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Saint Francis @ Duquesne 69–72 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Youngstown State @ Saint Francis 56–46 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Saint Francis @ Vermont 73–69 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Saint Francis @ South Florida 23–62 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Saint Francis @ Florida Gulf Coast N 64–97 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Saint Francis @ Morehead State 54–65 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Stetson @ Saint Francis N 73–78 regular
2019-11-08 2020 Saint Francis @ West Virginia 45–74 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Saint Francis @ Virginia Tech 41–105 regular