cbb·system

Saint Francis Red Wolves

womens canonical name from espn_scoreboard prov

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.87 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.16 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.23 possessions per game 5.76

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 22:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Saint Francis AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans 53.70 to 143.11 over 102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021149 0.609

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSaint Francis auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-11 2021 Saint Francis @ Wagner 57–70 conf_tournament
2021-03-05 2021 Saint Francis @ Central Connecticut 69–62 regular
2021-03-04 2021 Saint Francis @ Central Connecticut 80–67 regular
2021-03-01 2021 Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Francis 56–43 regular
2021-02-28 2021 Saint Francis @ Mount St. Mary's 55–71 regular
2021-02-24 2021 Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis 67–72 regular
2021-02-23 2021 Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis 76–70 regular
2021-02-19 2021 Wagner @ Saint Francis canceled regular
2021-02-18 2021 Wagner @ Saint Francis canceled regular
2021-02-14 2021 Saint Francis @ St. Francis Brooklyn 55–63 regular
2021-02-13 2021 Saint Francis @ St. Francis Brooklyn 56–55 regular
2021-02-10 2021 Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis postponed regular
2021-02-09 2021 Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis postponed regular
2021-02-05 2021 Merrimack @ Saint Francis 48–61 regular
2021-02-04 2021 Merrimack @ Saint Francis 62–70 regular
2021-01-24 2021 Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis postponed regular
2021-01-24 2021 Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis postponed regular
2021-01-19 2021 Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Francis postponed regular
2021-01-15 2021 Saint Francis @ Bryant 70–66 regular
2021-01-14 2021 Saint Francis @ Bryant 67–56 regular
2021-01-08 2021 Long Island University @ Saint Francis 62–66 regular
2021-01-08 2021 Long Island University @ Saint Francis 72–76 regular
2020-12-22 2021 Saint Francis @ Towson 78–69 regular
2020-12-19 2021 Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Francis postponed regular
2020-12-16 2021 Saint Francis @ Fairleigh Dickinson 64–48 regular
2020-12-16 2021 Saint Francis @ Fairleigh Dickinson 62–51 regular
2020-12-13 2021 Saint Francis @ Richmond canceled regular
2020-12-09 2021 Kent State @ Saint Francis 64–67 regular
2020-12-08 2021 Coppin State @ Saint Francis canceled regular
2020-12-05 2021 Saint Francis @ La Salle 68–76 regular
2020-12-02 2021 Duquesne @ Saint Francis 69–67 regular
2020-11-30 2021 Saint Francis @ Penn State 54–87 regular
2020-11-27 2021 Saint Francis @ Michigan State 44–77 regular