cbb·system

Michigan State Spartans

mens Big Ten canonical name from espn_mbb #7 Round of 32 (out) 2022

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.15 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.19 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.41 possessions per game 4.43

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 37 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Michigan State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.49 to 1.25 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20222313 0.639

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMichigan State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-20 2022 Michigan State @ Duke N 76–85 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-19 2022 Davidson @ Michigan State N 73–74 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-12 2022 Michigan State @ Purdue N 70–75 conf_tournament
2022-03-11 2022 Michigan State @ Wisconsin N 69–63 conf_tournament
2022-03-10 2022 Maryland @ Michigan State N 72–76 conf_tournament
2022-03-06 2022 Maryland @ Michigan State 67–77 regular
2022-03-04 2022 Michigan State @ Ohio State 69–80 regular
2022-03-02 2022 Michigan State @ Michigan 70–87 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Purdue @ Michigan State 65–68 regular
2022-02-23 2022 Michigan State @ Iowa 60–86 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Illinois @ Michigan State 79–74 regular
2022-02-15 2022 Michigan State @ Penn State 58–62 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Indiana @ Michigan State 61–76 regular
2022-02-09 2022 Wisconsin @ Michigan State 70–62 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Michigan State @ Rutgers 63–84 regular
2022-02-02 2022 Michigan State @ Maryland 65–63 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Michigan @ Michigan State 67–83 regular
2022-01-26 2022 Michigan State @ Illinois 55–56 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Michigan State @ Wisconsin 86–74 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Northwestern @ Michigan State 64–62 regular
2022-01-13 2022 Minnesota @ Michigan State 69–71 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Michigan State @ Michigan scheduled regular
2022-01-06 2022 Nebraska @ Michigan State 67–79 regular
2022-01-02 2022 Michigan State @ Northwestern 73–67 regular
2021-12-29 2022 High Point @ Michigan State 68–81 regular
2021-12-22 2022 Michigan State @ Oakland N 90–78 regular
2021-12-11 2022 Penn State @ Michigan State 64–80 regular
2021-12-09 2022 Michigan State @ Minnesota 75–67 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Toledo @ Michigan State 68–81 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Louisville @ Michigan State 64–73 regular
2021-11-26 2022 Baylor @ Michigan State N 75–58 regular
2021-11-25 2022 UConn @ Michigan State N 60–64 regular
2021-11-24 2022 Loyola Chicago @ Michigan State N 61–63 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Eastern Michigan @ Michigan State 59–83 regular
2021-11-18 2022 Michigan State @ Butler 73–52 regular
2021-11-12 2022 Western Michigan @ Michigan State 46–90 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Kansas @ Michigan State N 87–74 regular