Michigan State Spartans
mens
Big Ten
canonical name from espn_mbb
#2 Elite 8 (out) 2025
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.22 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.91 | points per possession | 0.15 |
| ME | 0.31 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 66.59 | possessions per game | 4.40 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-08 00:50),
with 37 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 0.59 to 1.25 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30 | 7 | 0.811 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Michigan State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-30 | 2025 | Michigan State @ Auburn N | 64–70 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-28 | 2025 | Ole Miss @ Michigan State N | 70–73 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-24 | 2025 | New Mexico @ Michigan State N | 63–71 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-22 | 2025 | Bryant @ Michigan State N | 62–87 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2025-03-15 | 2025 | Wisconsin @ Michigan State N | 77–74 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-14 | 2025 | Oregon @ Michigan State N | 64–74 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-09 | 2025 | Michigan @ Michigan State | 62–79 | regular |
| 2025-03-07 | 2025 | Michigan State @ Iowa | 91–84 | regular |
| 2025-03-02 | 2025 | Wisconsin @ Michigan State | 62–71 | regular |
| 2025-02-26 | 2025 | Michigan State @ Maryland | 58–55 | regular |
| 2025-02-22 | 2025 | Michigan State @ Michigan | 75–62 | regular |
| 2025-02-19 | 2025 | Purdue @ Michigan State | 66–75 | regular |
| 2025-02-16 | 2025 | Michigan State @ Illinois | 79–65 | regular |
| 2025-02-12 | 2025 | Indiana @ Michigan State | 71–67 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | Oregon @ Michigan State | 74–86 | regular |
| 2025-02-05 | 2025 | Michigan State @ UCLA | 61–63 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | Michigan State @ USC | 64–70 | regular |
| 2025-01-29 | 2025 | Minnesota @ Michigan State | 51–73 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | Michigan State @ Rutgers | 81–74 | regular |
| 2025-01-19 | 2025 | Illinois @ Michigan State | 78–80 | regular |
| 2025-01-16 | 2025 | Penn State @ Michigan State | 85–90 | regular |
| 2025-01-12 | 2025 | Michigan State @ Northwestern | 78–68 | regular |
| 2025-01-10 | 2025 | Washington @ Michigan State | 54–88 | regular |
| 2025-01-04 | 2025 | Michigan State @ Ohio State | 69–62 | regular |
| 2024-12-30 | 2025 | Western Michigan @ Michigan State | 62–80 | regular |
| 2024-12-21 | 2025 | Florida Atlantic @ Michigan State | 69–86 | regular |
| 2024-12-18 | 2025 | Michigan State @ Oakland N | 77–58 | regular |
| 2024-12-07 | 2025 | Nebraska @ Michigan State | 52–89 | regular |
| 2024-12-05 | 2025 | Michigan State @ Minnesota | 90–72 | regular |
| 2024-11-28 | 2025 | Michigan State @ North Carolina N | 94–91 | regular |
| 2024-11-26 | 2025 | Memphis @ Michigan State N | 71–63 | regular |
| 2024-11-25 | 2025 | Colorado @ Michigan State N | 56–72 | regular |
| 2024-11-20 | 2025 | Samford @ Michigan State | 75–83 | regular |
| 2024-11-16 | 2025 | Bowling Green @ Michigan State | 72–86 | regular |
| 2024-11-12 | 2025 | Michigan State @ Kansas N | 69–77 | regular |
| 2024-11-08 | 2025 | Niagara @ Michigan State | 60–96 | regular |
| 2024-11-05 | 2025 | Monmouth @ Michigan State | 57–81 | regular |