Michigan State Spartans
mens
Big Ten
canonical name from espn_mbb
#7 Sweet 16 (out) 2023
Ratings · 2023
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.16 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.95 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.21 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 64.83 | possessions per game | 4.45 |
At season 2023's latest cutoff
(2023-04-04 01:20),
with 35 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023.
Axis spans 0.80 to 1.41 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2023
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | 13 | 0.618 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Michigan State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-23 | 2023 | Michigan State @ Kansas State N | 93–98 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2023-03-19 | 2023 | Michigan State @ Marquette N | 69–60 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2023-03-17 | 2023 | USC @ Michigan State N | 62–72 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2023-03-10 | 2023 | Ohio State @ Michigan State N | 68–58 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-04 | 2023 | Ohio State @ Michigan State | 78–84 | regular |
| 2023-03-01 | 2023 | Michigan State @ Nebraska | 80–67 | regular |
| 2023-02-25 | 2023 | Michigan State @ Iowa | 106–112 | regular |
| 2023-02-22 | 2023 | Indiana @ Michigan State | 65–80 | regular |
| 2023-02-19 | 2023 | Michigan State @ Michigan | 72–84 | regular |
| 2023-02-16 | 2023 | Minnesota @ Michigan State | canceled | regular |
| 2023-02-12 | 2023 | Michigan State @ Ohio State | 62–41 | regular |
| 2023-02-08 | 2023 | Maryland @ Michigan State | 58–63 | regular |
| 2023-02-04 | 2023 | Michigan State @ Rutgers | 55–61 | regular |
| 2023-01-29 | 2023 | Michigan State @ Purdue | 61–77 | regular |
| 2023-01-27 | 2023 | Iowa @ Michigan State | 61–63 | regular |
| 2023-01-22 | 2023 | Michigan State @ Indiana | 69–82 | regular |
| 2023-01-19 | 2023 | Rutgers @ Michigan State | 57–70 | regular |
| 2023-01-16 | 2023 | Purdue @ Michigan State | 64–63 | regular |
| 2023-01-14 | 2023 | Michigan State @ Illinois | 66–75 | regular |
| 2023-01-11 | 2023 | Michigan State @ Wisconsin | 69–65 | regular |
| 2023-01-07 | 2023 | Michigan @ Michigan State | 53–59 | regular |
| 2023-01-04 | 2023 | Nebraska @ Michigan State | 56–74 | regular |
| 2022-12-30 | 2023 | Buffalo @ Michigan State | 68–89 | regular |
| 2022-12-21 | 2023 | Oakland @ Michigan State | 54–67 | regular |
| 2022-12-10 | 2023 | Brown @ Michigan State | 50–68 | regular |
| 2022-12-07 | 2023 | Michigan State @ Penn State | 67–58 | regular |
| 2022-12-05 | 2023 | Northwestern @ Michigan State | 70–63 | regular |
| 2022-12-01 | 2023 | Michigan State @ Notre Dame | 52–70 | regular |
| 2022-11-27 | 2023 | Portland @ Michigan State N | 77–78 | regular |
| 2022-11-26 | 2023 | Oregon @ Michigan State N | 70–74 | regular |
| 2022-11-25 | 2023 | Alabama @ Michigan State N | 81–70 | regular |
| 2022-11-19 | 2023 | Villanova @ Michigan State | 71–73 | regular |
| 2022-11-16 | 2023 | Kentucky @ Michigan State N | 77–86 | regular |
| 2022-11-11 | 2023 | Michigan State @ Gonzaga N | 63–64 | regular |
| 2022-11-08 | 2023 | Northern Arizona @ Michigan State | 55–73 | regular |