Michigan State Spartans
mens
Big Ten
canonical name from espn_mbb
#3 Sweet 16 (out) 2026
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.26 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 0.94 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| ME | 0.32 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 65.72 | possessions per game | 4.63 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 35 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 0.93 to 1.51 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 8 | 0.771 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Michigan State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | 2026 | Michigan State @ UConn N | 63–67 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-21 | 2026 | Louisville @ Michigan State N | 69–77 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-19 | 2026 | North Dakota State @ Michigan State N | 67–92 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026 | UCLA @ Michigan State N | 88–84 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-08 | 2026 | Michigan State @ Michigan | 80–90 | regular |
| 2026-03-06 | 2026 | Rutgers @ Michigan State | 87–91 | regular |
| 2026-03-01 | 2026 | Michigan State @ Indiana | 77–64 | regular |
| 2026-02-27 | 2026 | Michigan State @ Purdue | 76–74 | regular |
| 2026-02-22 | 2026 | Ohio State @ Michigan State | 60–66 | regular |
| 2026-02-18 | 2026 | UCLA @ Michigan State | 59–82 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | Michigan State @ Wisconsin | 71–92 | regular |
| 2026-02-08 | 2026 | Illinois @ Michigan State | 82–85 | regular |
| 2026-02-05 | 2026 | Michigan State @ Minnesota | 73–76 | regular |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026 | Michigan @ Michigan State | 83–71 | regular |
| 2026-01-27 | 2026 | Michigan State @ Rutgers | 88–79 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | Maryland @ Michigan State | 48–91 | regular |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026 | Michigan State @ Oregon | 68–52 | regular |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026 | Michigan State @ Washington | 80–63 | regular |
| 2026-01-14 | 2026 | Indiana @ Michigan State | 60–81 | regular |
| 2026-01-08 | 2026 | Northwestern @ Michigan State | 66–76 | regular |
| 2026-01-06 | 2026 | USC @ Michigan State | 51–80 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | Michigan State @ Nebraska | 56–58 | regular |
| 2025-12-30 | 2026 | Cornell @ Michigan State | 97–114 | regular |
| 2025-12-20 | 2026 | Oakland @ Michigan State N | 70–79 | regular |
| 2025-12-16 | 2026 | Toledo @ Michigan State | 69–92 | regular |
| 2025-12-13 | 2026 | Michigan State @ Penn State | 76–72 | regular |
| 2025-12-06 | 2026 | Duke @ Michigan State | 66–60 | regular |
| 2025-12-03 | 2026 | Iowa @ Michigan State | 52–71 | regular |
| 2025-11-27 | 2026 | Michigan State @ North Carolina N | 74–58 | regular |
| 2025-11-25 | 2026 | Michigan State @ East Carolina N | 89–56 | regular |
| 2025-11-21 | 2026 | Detroit Mercy @ Michigan State | 56–84 | regular |
| 2025-11-18 | 2026 | Michigan State @ Kentucky N | 83–66 | regular |
| 2025-11-13 | 2026 | San José State @ Michigan State | 60–79 | regular |
| 2025-11-09 | 2026 | Arkansas @ Michigan State | 66–69 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Colgate @ Michigan State | 69–80 | regular |