cbb·system

Michigan State Spartans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2014

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.09 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.27 points per possession 0.17
PACE 70.40 possessions per game 4.80

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Michigan State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.55 to 1.08 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142310 0.697

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMichigan State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-25 2014 Michigan State @ North Carolina N 53–62 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-23 2014 Hampton @ Michigan State N 61–91 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Nebraska @ Michigan State N 86–58 conf_tournament
2014-03-07 2014 Michigan @ Michigan State N 58–61 conf_tournament
2014-03-02 2014 Indiana @ Michigan State 56–76 regular
2014-02-28 2014 Michigan State @ Northwestern 75–44 regular
2014-02-25 2014 Minnesota @ Michigan State 61–75 regular
2014-02-21 2014 Michigan State @ Wisconsin 76–66 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Ohio State @ Michigan State 49–70 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Michigan State @ Nebraska 56–76 regular
2014-02-06 2014 Michigan State @ Illinois 69–53 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Purdue @ Michigan State 73–89 regular
2014-01-31 2014 Wisconsin @ Michigan State 67–71 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Michigan State @ Ohio State 82–68 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Illinois @ Michigan State 61–51 regular
2014-01-19 2014 Penn State @ Michigan State 66–54 regular
2014-01-17 2014 Michigan State @ Iowa 88–72 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Michigan State @ Michigan 79–72 regular
2014-01-10 2014 Nebraska @ Michigan State 57–70 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Michigan State @ Minnesota 81–56 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Colgate @ Michigan State 46–96 regular
2013-12-20 2014 Michigan State @ Georgetown N 67–54 regular
2013-12-19 2014 Oklahoma State @ Michigan State N 63–57 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Oakland @ Michigan State 62–80 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Michigan State @ Virginia Tech 66–72 regular
2013-12-05 2014 Michigan State @ Florida State 58–60 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Michigan State 81–76 regular
2013-11-27 2014 Michigan State @ Temple 74–70 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Rice @ Michigan State 68–81 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Detroit Mercy @ Michigan State 41–80 regular
2013-11-17 2014 Dayton @ Michigan State 89–96 regular
2013-11-15 2014 Canisius @ Michigan State 54–102 regular
2013-11-12 2014 Michigan State @ Notre Dame 62–81 regular