cbb·system

Michigan State Spartans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.00 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.79 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.21 points per possession 0.18
PACE 71.88 possessions per game 4.40

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Michigan State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.46 to 1.09 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151615 0.516

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMichigan State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-06 2015 Michigan State @ Maryland N 60–70 conf_tournament
2015-03-05 2015 Michigan State @ Michigan N 69–49 conf_tournament
2015-02-28 2015 Michigan State @ Purdue 61–56 regular
2015-02-26 2015 Michigan State @ Illinois 67–65 regular
2015-02-22 2015 Rutgers @ Michigan State 50–60 regular
2015-02-17 2015 Maryland @ Michigan State 75–69 regular
2015-02-12 2015 Michigan State @ Penn State 74–67 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Michigan State @ Minnesota 79–86 regular
2015-02-06 2015 Michigan @ Michigan State 72–59 regular
2015-02-02 2015 Michigan State @ Ohio State 62–76 regular
2015-01-29 2015 Indiana @ Michigan State 57–72 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Wisconsin @ Michigan State 71–77 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Michigan State @ Maryland 56–85 regular
2015-01-18 2015 Iowa @ Michigan State 52–50 regular
2015-01-16 2015 Illinois @ Michigan State 56–63 regular
2015-01-11 2015 Michigan State @ Northwestern 70–77 regular
2015-01-09 2015 Nebraska @ Michigan State 71–67 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Michigan State @ Michigan 65–74 regular
2015-01-01 2015 Michigan State @ Indiana 51–70 regular
2014-12-28 2015 Northwestern @ Michigan State 61–57 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Michigan State @ Syracuse N 89–76 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Baylor @ Michigan State N 84–65 regular
2014-12-17 2015 Alcorn State @ Michigan State 41–77 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Michigan State @ Loyola Chicago 90–38 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Michigan State @ Georgia 60–69 regular
2014-12-05 2015 Georgia Tech @ Michigan State 73–79 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Miami (OH) @ Michigan State 39–85 regular
2014-11-27 2015 Oakland @ Michigan State 64–79 regular
2014-11-23 2015 IU Indianapolis @ Michigan State 45–64 regular
2014-11-20 2015 Notre Dame @ Michigan State 71–63 regular
2014-11-16 2015 Eastern Michigan @ Michigan State 61–69 regular