cbb·system

Michigan State Spartans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2019

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.23 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.17 possessions per game 4.75

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Michigan State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -1.16 to 1.73 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192112 0.636

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMichigan State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-25 2019 Michigan State @ Notre Dame 63–91 ncaa_tournament
2019-03-23 2019 Michigan State @ Central Michigan N 88–87 ncaa_tournament
2019-03-08 2019 Michigan State @ Maryland N 55–71 conf_tournament
2019-03-07 2019 Michigan State @ Northwestern N 68–52 conf_tournament
2019-03-03 2019 Michigan State @ Minnesota 63–81 regular
2019-02-28 2019 Penn State @ Michigan State 48–57 regular
2019-02-24 2019 Michigan @ Michigan State 64–74 regular
2019-02-21 2019 Ohio State @ Michigan State 77–70 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Michigan State @ Nebraska 71–82 regular
2019-02-15 2019 Michigan State @ Wisconsin 62–79 regular
2019-02-12 2019 Indiana @ Michigan State 61–77 regular
2019-02-08 2019 Michigan State @ Iowa 71–86 regular
2019-02-03 2019 Purdue @ Michigan State 66–74 regular
2019-02-01 2019 Penn State @ Michigan State postponed regular
2019-01-27 2019 Michigan State @ Michigan 77–73 regular
2019-01-25 2019 Illinois @ Michigan State 60–77 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Michigan State @ Rutgers 62–76 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Maryland @ Michigan State 60–77 regular
2019-01-15 2019 Michigan State @ Ohio State 55–65 regular
2019-01-10 2019 Minnesota @ Michigan State 68–86 regular
2019-01-06 2019 Michigan State @ Indiana 64–68 regular
2019-01-04 2019 Michigan State @ Northwestern 62–70 regular
2018-12-30 2019 Iowa @ Michigan State 70–84 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Florida Atlantic @ Michigan State 74–89 regular
2018-12-16 2019 Michigan State @ Hartford 74–66 regular
2018-12-09 2019 Oregon @ Michigan State 82–88 regular
2018-12-06 2019 Michigan State @ Oakland 102–58 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Texas Southern @ Michigan State 45–91 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Virginia @ Michigan State 66–91 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Michigan State @ Kennesaw State N 75–51 regular
2018-11-22 2019 NC State @ Michigan State N 78–74 regular
2018-11-18 2019 Wright State @ Michigan State 68–84 regular
2018-11-11 2019 East Tennessee State @ Michigan State 53–75 regular
2018-11-07 2019 Bowling Green @ Michigan State 69–99 regular