cbb·system

Michigan State Spartans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.86 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.22 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.92 possessions per game 4.72

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Michigan State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 60.79 to 87.51 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181914 0.576

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMichigan State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-23 2018 Michigan State @ South Dakota 83–85 other_postseason
2018-03-19 2018 Toledo @ Michigan State 66–68 other_postseason
2018-03-15 2018 Cincinnati @ Michigan State 75–81 other_postseason
2018-03-01 2018 Michigan State @ Indiana N 109–111 conf_tournament
2018-02-24 2018 Michigan State @ Purdue 82–68 regular
2018-02-22 2018 Wisconsin @ Michigan State 61–69 regular
2018-02-15 2018 Nebraska @ Michigan State 79–69 regular
2018-02-11 2018 Michigan @ Michigan State 61–66 regular
2018-02-09 2018 Maryland @ Michigan State 76–68 regular
2018-02-04 2018 Michigan State @ Penn State 59–74 regular
2018-02-01 2018 Iowa @ Michigan State 71–68 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Michigan State @ Ohio State 62–78 regular
2018-01-24 2018 Michigan State @ Michigan 48–74 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Indiana @ Michigan State 69–65 regular
2018-01-17 2018 Michigan State @ Illinois 67–55 regular
2018-01-12 2018 Michigan State @ Maryland 82–68 regular
2018-01-07 2018 Michigan State @ Minnesota 77–83 regular
2018-01-04 2018 Northwestern @ Michigan State 51–81 regular
2017-12-31 2018 Rutgers @ Michigan State 61–58 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Michigan State @ Indiana 68–46 regular
2017-12-22 2018 Michigan State @ Mississippi Valley State N 83–64 regular
2017-12-22 2018 Michigan State @ South Florida N 83–73 regular
2017-12-19 2018 Quinnipiac @ Michigan State 55–74 regular
2017-12-17 2018 Michigan State @ East Tennessee State 83–74 regular
2017-12-09 2018 Rhode Island @ Michigan State 38–82 regular
2017-12-07 2018 Michigan State @ Notre Dame 59–90 regular
2017-12-03 2018 Western Michigan @ Michigan State 62–65 regular
2017-12-01 2018 Michigan State @ Miami 57–67 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Michigan State @ UConn N 62–96 regular
2017-11-22 2018 Michigan State @ Detroit Mercy 97–60 regular
2017-11-19 2018 Charleston @ Michigan State 43–107 regular
2017-11-14 2018 Oakland @ Michigan State 63–95 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Robert Morris @ Michigan State 58–100 regular