Michigan State Spartans
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Round of 64 (out) 2021
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.10 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.79 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.31 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 70.39 | possessions per game | 4.92 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 22:00),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 60.27 to 150.09 over
102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 15 | 9 | 0.625 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Michigan State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-22 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Iowa State N | 75–79 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-12 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Iowa N | 72–87 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-11 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Indiana N | 69–61 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-10 | 2021 | Penn State @ Michigan State N | 66–75 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Wisconsin @ Michigan State | 54–67 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Nebraska | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-24 | 2021 | Rutgers @ Michigan State | 63–53 | regular |
| 2021-02-21 | 2021 | Purdue @ Michigan State | 73–76 | regular |
| 2021-02-16 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Michigan | 82–86 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Penn State | 78–65 | regular |
| 2021-02-10 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Maryland | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-07 | 2021 | Northwestern @ Michigan State | 63–60 | regular |
| 2021-02-05 | 2021 | Illinois @ Michigan State | 60–81 | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Indiana | 67–79 | regular |
| 2021-01-28 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Maryland | 52–92 | regular |
| 2021-01-27 | 2021 | Michigan @ Michigan State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-24 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Wisconsin | 94–62 | regular |
| 2021-01-21 | 2021 | Indiana @ Michigan State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-18 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Michigan | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-15 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Illinois | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-10 | 2021 | Nebraska @ Michigan State | 68–64 | regular |
| 2021-01-07 | 2021 | Maryland @ Michigan State | 93–87 | regular |
| 2021-01-03 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Purdue | 71–64 | regular |
| 2020-12-31 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Ohio State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-22 | 2021 | Oakland @ Michigan State | 56–94 | regular |
| 2020-12-20 | 2021 | Northern Illinois @ Michigan State | 70–82 | regular |
| 2020-12-18 | 2021 | Central Michigan @ Michigan State | 70–79 | regular |
| 2020-12-12 | 2021 | Iowa @ Michigan State | 82–86 | regular |
| 2020-12-10 | 2021 | Michigan State @ Minnesota | 81–68 | regular |
| 2020-12-03 | 2021 | Detroit Mercy @ Michigan State | 45–82 | regular |
| 2020-11-27 | 2021 | Saint Francis @ Michigan State | 44–77 | regular |