Murray State Racers
mens
OVC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.04 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.05 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.02 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 65.42 | possessions per game | 4.70 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 27 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 55.80 to 77.86 over
110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 12 | 13 | 0.480 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Murray State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-05 | 2021 | Murray State @ Jacksonville State N | 65–68 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-02-28 | 2021 | Murray State @ Tennessee Tech | 61–71 | regular |
| 2021-02-26 | 2021 | Murray State @ Jacksonville State | 74–87 | regular |
| 2021-02-21 | 2021 | SIU Edwardsville @ Murray State | 62–89 | regular |
| 2021-02-19 | 2021 | Eastern Illinois @ Murray State | 68–59 | regular |
| 2021-02-15 | 2021 | Murray State @ SIU Edwardsville | 86–57 | regular |
| 2021-02-14 | 2021 | UT Martin @ Murray State | 55–84 | regular |
| 2021-02-12 | 2021 | Southeast Missouri State @ Murray State | 60–80 | regular |
| 2021-02-09 | 2021 | Murray State @ SIU Edwardsville | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Murray State @ Eastern Kentucky | 76–64 | regular |
| 2021-02-05 | 2021 | Murray State @ Morehead State | 56–66 | regular |
| 2021-02-02 | 2021 | Murray State @ Southeast Missouri State | 77–60 | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | Belmont @ Murray State | 72–71 | regular |
| 2021-01-29 | 2021 | Tennessee State @ Murray State | 53–73 | regular |
| 2021-01-24 | 2021 | Tennessee Tech @ Murray State | 63–72 | regular |
| 2021-01-22 | 2021 | Jacksonville State @ Murray State | 85–82 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Murray State @ UT Martin | 79–57 | regular |
| 2021-01-15 | 2021 | Murray State @ Southeast Missouri State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Murray State @ SIU Edwardsville | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-08 | 2021 | Murray State @ Eastern Illinois | 68–74 | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Morehead State @ Murray State | 61–56 | regular |
| 2020-12-31 | 2021 | Murray State @ Belmont | 55–68 | regular |
| 2020-12-22 | 2021 | Murray State @ Austin Peay | 70–74 | regular |
| 2020-12-16 | 2021 | Transylvania @ Murray State | 49–90 | non_d1 |
| 2020-12-12 | 2021 | Murray State @ Southern Illinois | 66–70 | regular |
| 2020-12-09 | 2021 | Austin Peay @ Murray State | 57–87 | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Murray State | 65–76 | regular |
| 2020-12-03 | 2021 | Murray State @ Middle Tennessee | 61–78 | regular |
| 2020-11-29 | 2021 | Kentucky Wesleyan @ Murray State | canceled | non_d1 |
| 2020-11-27 | 2021 | Kentucky Wesleyan @ Murray State | canceled | non_d1 |
| 2020-11-26 | 2021 | Brescia @ Murray State | canceled | non_d1 |