cbb·system

Austin Peay Governors

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.03 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.04 possessions per game 4.46

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Austin Peay AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.68 to 1.31 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201812 0.600

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbAustin Peay auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-04 2020 Austin Peay @ Belmont N 73–76 conf_tournament
2020-02-29 2020 Austin Peay @ Murray State 88–59 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Morehead State @ Austin Peay 65–70 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Austin Peay @ Eastern Illinois 72–73 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Austin Peay @ SIU Edwardsville 79–62 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay 53–69 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Murray State @ Austin Peay 61–69 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Austin Peay @ Belmont 46–69 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Austin Peay @ Tennessee State 87–55 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Eastern Illinois @ Austin Peay 76–47 regular
2020-01-30 2020 SIU Edwardsville @ Austin Peay 61–74 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Belmont @ Austin Peay 53–52 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Tennessee State @ Austin Peay 58–76 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Austin Peay @ UT Martin 61–65 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Austin Peay @ Southeast Missouri State 43–81 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Austin Peay @ Jacksonville State 63–57 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Austin Peay @ Tennessee Tech 49–58 regular
2020-01-04 2020 UT Martin @ Austin Peay 69–61 regular
2020-01-02 2020 Southeast Missouri State @ Austin Peay 79–66 regular
2019-12-29 2020 Illinois State @ Austin Peay 72–77 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Austin Peay @ Florida International 58–56 regular
2019-12-19 2020 Austin Peay @ Binghamton N 80–63 regular
2019-12-14 2020 Austin Peay @ Alabama A&M 67–61 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Austin Peay @ Kentucky 52–81 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Austin Peay @ Chattanooga 50–49 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Evansville @ Austin Peay 64–80 regular
2019-11-19 2020 Austin Peay @ Mississippi Valley State 100–82 regular
2019-11-14 2020 Austin Peay @ Illinois 62–76 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Christian Brothers @ Austin Peay 62–82 non_d1
2019-11-05 2020 Kentucky Wesleyan @ Austin Peay 70–103 non_d1