cbb·system

Austin Peay Governors

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.90 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.87 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.15 possessions per game 4.80

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Austin Peay AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.59 to 1.18 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231712 0.586

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbAustin Peay auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-09 2023 Austin Peay @ Florida Gulf Coast 34–51 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay 55–73 conf_tournament
2023-03-02 2023 Central Arkansas @ Austin Peay scheduled regular
2023-02-25 2023 Lipscomb @ Austin Peay 65–50 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Austin Peay @ Lipscomb 76–71 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Austin Peay @ Florida Gulf Coast 42–55 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Austin Peay @ Stetson 48–53 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Jacksonville @ Austin Peay 55–52 regular
2023-02-10 2023 North Florida @ Austin Peay 35–77 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky 82–69 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Austin Peay @ Bellarmine 72–52 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Queens University @ Austin Peay 56–70 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Liberty @ Austin Peay 71–66 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Austin Peay @ North Alabama 61–52 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Austin Peay @ Central Arkansas 64–53 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Kennesaw State @ Austin Peay 59–65 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Jacksonville State @ Austin Peay 43–47 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Stetson @ Austin Peay 46–50 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Austin Peay @ Kennesaw State 57–66 regular
2023-01-02 2023 Austin Peay @ Queens University 62–43 regular
2022-12-21 2023 UNC Asheville @ Austin Peay 51–64 regular
2022-12-13 2023 Austin Peay @ Murray State 71–67 regular
2022-12-09 2023 Austin Peay @ Duke 31–74 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Gardner-Webb @ Austin Peay 62–58 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Austin Peay @ UIC N 59–62 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Fairleigh Dickinson @ Austin Peay N 46–53 regular
2022-11-21 2023 Davidson @ Austin Peay N 62–41 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Austin Peay @ Vanderbilt 61–70 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Austin Peay @ Chattanooga 58–53 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Cumberland @ Austin Peay 35–81 non_d1