cbb·system

Austin Peay Governors

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.90 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.14 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.24 points per possession 0.16
PACE 74.73 possessions per game 4.60

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Austin Peay AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 64.17 to 90.77 over 100 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
2014920 0.310

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbAustin Peay auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-01 2014 Austin Peay @ UT Martin 85–116 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay 79–71 regular
2014-02-18 2014 Eastern Illinois @ Austin Peay 65–63 regular
2014-02-15 2014 SIU Edwardsville @ Austin Peay 81–65 regular
2014-02-11 2014 Austin Peay @ Belmont 67–69 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Austin Peay @ Tennessee State 61–96 regular
2014-02-03 2014 Austin Peay @ Southeast Missouri State 87–74 regular
2014-01-31 2014 Murray State @ Austin Peay 71–86 regular
2014-01-28 2014 Jacksonville State @ Austin Peay 69–65 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Tennessee Tech @ Austin Peay 70–79 regular
2014-01-21 2014 Austin Peay @ SIU Edwardsville 77–67 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Austin Peay @ Eastern Illinois 64–56 regular
2014-01-13 2014 Austin Peay @ Morehead State 83–75 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Austin Peay @ Murray State 68–76 regular
2014-01-06 2014 UT Martin @ Austin Peay 95–81 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Southeast Missouri State @ Austin Peay 75–64 regular
2013-12-30 2014 Austin Peay @ Ole Miss 69–99 regular
2013-12-22 2014 Austin Peay @ Omaha N 54–70 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Austin Peay @ Wichita State 64–86 regular
2013-12-19 2014 Chattanooga @ Austin Peay 81–70 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Austin Peay @ Louisville 53–108 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Austin Peay @ Xavier 59–72 regular
2013-12-04 2014 Middle Tennessee @ Austin Peay 69–43 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Central Arkansas @ Austin Peay 60–81 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Evansville @ Austin Peay 65–50 regular
2013-11-19 2014 Trevecca Nazarene @ Austin Peay 77–98 non_d1
2013-11-16 2014 Arkansas State @ Austin Peay 79–69 regular
2013-11-13 2014 Austin Peay @ Southern Illinois 71–69 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Austin Peay @ Western Kentucky 75–78 regular