cbb·system

Austin Peay Governors

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.90 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.00 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.30 possessions per game 5.29

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 22:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Austin Peay AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans 56.32 to 144.91 over 102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
20211211 0.522

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbAustin Peay auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-03 2021 Austin Peay @ Belmont N 50–54 conf_tournament
2021-02-27 2021 Austin Peay @ Jacksonville State 44–60 regular
2021-02-25 2021 Austin Peay @ Tennessee Tech 57–62 regular
2021-02-22 2021 Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky 65–49 regular
2021-02-20 2021 Eastern Illinois @ Austin Peay 62–59 regular
2021-02-18 2021 SIU Edwardsville @ Austin Peay 40–66 regular
2021-02-17 2021 Austin Peay @ Morehead State canceled regular
2021-02-13 2021 Southeast Missouri State @ Austin Peay 73–68 regular
2021-02-12 2021 UT Martin @ Austin Peay 56–51 regular
2021-02-12 2021 UT Martin @ Austin Peay postponed regular
2021-02-09 2021 Tennessee State @ Austin Peay 45–58 regular
2021-02-06 2021 Austin Peay @ Morehead State postponed regular
2021-02-04 2021 Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky postponed regular
2021-01-30 2021 Tennessee State @ Austin Peay postponed regular
2021-01-28 2021 Belmont @ Austin Peay canceled regular
2021-01-26 2021 Murray State @ Austin Peay 71–74 regular
2021-01-23 2021 Jacksonville State @ Austin Peay 51–61 regular
2021-01-21 2021 Tennessee Tech @ Austin Peay 66–61 regular
2021-01-16 2021 Austin Peay @ Southeast Missouri State 61–74 regular
2021-01-14 2021 Austin Peay @ UT Martin 53–69 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Austin Peay @ Eastern Illinois 77–68 regular
2021-01-07 2021 Austin Peay @ SIU Edwardsville 73–54 regular
2021-01-04 2021 Austin Peay @ Tennessee State 62–37 regular
2021-01-02 2021 Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay 51–69 regular
2020-12-30 2021 Austin Peay @ Tennessee State postponed regular
2020-12-19 2021 Austin Peay @ Murray State 64–60 regular
2020-12-15 2021 Chattanooga @ Austin Peay 65–64 regular
2020-12-12 2021 Austin Peay @ Southern Illinois 54–72 regular
2020-12-06 2021 Austin Peay @ Florida State canceled regular
2020-12-03 2021 Austin Peay @ Mississippi Valley State canceled regular
2020-11-28 2021 Trevecca Nazarene @ Austin Peay 76–90 non_d1
2020-11-25 2021 Austin Peay @ North Alabama 88–78 regular