cbb·system

Nevada Wolf Pack

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.02 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.15 possessions per game 4.57

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Nevada AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.65 to 1.26 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201516 0.484

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNevada auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-02 2020 Nevada @ Fresno State N 71–75 conf_tournament
2020-03-01 2020 New Mexico @ Nevada N 64–74 conf_tournament
2020-02-28 2020 Nevada @ San Diego State 68–81 regular
2020-02-25 2020 Wyoming @ Nevada 84–79 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Nevada @ Fresno State 58–69 regular
2020-02-20 2020 New Mexico @ Nevada 78–86 regular
2020-02-13 2020 UNLV @ Nevada 59–62 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Nevada @ San José State 80–76 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Nevada @ Air Force 71–67 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Boise State @ Nevada 83–72 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Colorado State @ Nevada 63–74 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Nevada @ New Mexico 67–87 regular
2020-01-23 2020 Nevada @ UNLV 64–66 regular
2020-01-18 2020 San Diego State @ Nevada 69–70 regular
2020-01-16 2020 Nevada @ Wyoming 59–83 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Utah State @ Nevada 60–69 regular
2020-01-09 2020 San José State @ Nevada 72–70 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Nevada @ Boise State 40–54 regular
2020-01-02 2020 Nevada @ Colorado State 70–75 regular
2019-12-28 2020 Cal Poly @ Nevada 40–71 regular
2019-12-21 2020 UT Rio Grande Valley @ Nevada N 57–62 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Nevada @ USC 47–50 regular
2019-12-14 2020 Nevada @ Utah 62–68 regular
2019-12-10 2020 Stanislaus State @ Nevada 62–80 non_d1
2019-12-07 2020 Air Force @ Nevada 68–61 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Stephen F. Austin @ Nevada 80–65 regular
2019-11-29 2020 Chicago State @ Nevada 60–80 regular
2019-11-23 2020 Nevada @ Portland State 75–80 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Nevada @ Utah Valley 60–57 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Sacramento State @ Nevada 72–83 regular
2019-11-05 2020 Saint Mary's @ Nevada 72–78 regular