cbb·system

Nevada Wolf Pack

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.90 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.14
ME -0.03 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.33 possessions per game 4.93

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Nevada AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.19 to 1.79 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191219 0.387

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNevada auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-11 2019 Nevada @ Boise State N 67–72 conf_tournament
2019-03-10 2019 San José State @ Nevada N 68–78 conf_tournament
2019-03-08 2019 Nevada @ San Diego State 61–64 regular
2019-03-05 2019 Air Force @ Nevada 54–79 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Utah State @ Nevada 71–59 regular
2019-02-28 2019 Nevada @ UNLV 58–67 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Nevada @ Fresno State 57–41 regular
2019-02-21 2019 San Diego State @ Nevada 69–74 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Wyoming @ Nevada 55–51 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Nevada @ New Mexico 74–85 regular
2019-02-07 2019 Colorado State @ Nevada 57–68 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Nevada @ Boise State 65–80 regular
2019-01-31 2019 UNLV @ Nevada 62–70 regular
2019-01-24 2019 Nevada @ Colorado State 62–38 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Nevada @ Air Force 74–79 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Boise State @ Nevada 75–74 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Fresno State @ Nevada 79–63 regular
2019-01-10 2019 Nevada @ San José State 52–49 regular
2019-01-05 2019 New Mexico @ Nevada 66–64 regular
2019-01-03 2019 Nevada @ Utah State 76–79 regular
2018-12-29 2019 Hawai'i @ Nevada 78–79 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Seattle U @ Nevada 54–67 regular
2018-12-15 2019 Texas Tech @ Nevada 86–67 regular
2018-12-11 2019 Stanislaus State @ Nevada 52–75 non_d1
2018-12-02 2019 Northern Illinois @ Nevada N 98–69 regular
2018-12-01 2019 UC Davis @ Nevada N 84–68 regular
2018-11-25 2019 USC @ Nevada 72–51 regular
2018-11-23 2019 Colorado @ Nevada 65–52 regular
2018-11-19 2019 Nevada @ Long Beach State 76–67 regular
2018-11-11 2019 Nevada @ Santa Clara 48–56 regular
2018-11-08 2019 Utah @ Nevada 74–52 regular