cbb·system

USC Trojans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.00 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.17 points per possession 0.17
PACE 70.63 possessions per game 4.49

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

USC AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.76 to 1.30 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151515 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUSC auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-06 2015 Colorado @ USC N 75–63 conf_tournament
2015-02-28 2015 USC @ Washington State 62–68 regular
2015-02-27 2015 USC @ Washington 48–60 regular
2015-02-22 2015 Arizona State @ USC 76–73 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Arizona @ USC 51–77 regular
2015-02-16 2015 USC @ California 65–54 regular
2015-02-14 2015 USC @ Stanford 60–79 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Colorado @ USC 51–66 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Utah @ USC 54–73 regular
2015-02-03 2015 USC @ Oregon 57–63 regular
2015-01-31 2015 USC @ Oregon State 35–68 regular
2015-01-26 2015 Stanford @ USC 71–60 regular
2015-01-24 2015 California @ USC 67–53 regular
2015-01-19 2015 USC @ UCLA 60–71 regular
2015-01-11 2015 USC @ Utah 46–43 regular
2015-01-10 2015 USC @ Colorado 81–61 regular
2015-01-06 2015 Oregon State @ USC 76–66 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Oregon @ USC 54–70 regular
2014-12-31 2015 UCLA @ USC 59–52 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Oklahoma State @ USC 66–62 regular
2014-12-19 2015 Loyola Marymount @ USC 54–96 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Sacramento State @ USC 99–101 regular
2014-12-10 2015 Cal State Northridge @ USC 74–85 regular
2014-12-07 2015 USC @ Saint Mary's 58–64 regular
2014-11-30 2015 USC @ SMU 64–57 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Sam Houston @ USC N 67–88 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Fresno State @ USC 50–68 regular
2014-11-22 2015 USC @ Long Beach State 90–85 regular
2014-11-18 2015 USC @ Davidson 99–64 regular
2014-11-16 2015 USC @ South Carolina 61–70 regular