cbb·system

USC Trojans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.82 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.22 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.80 possessions per game 4.62

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

USC AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.69 to 1.29 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201714 0.548

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUSC auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-07 2020 USC @ UCLA N 66–73 conf_tournament
2020-03-06 2020 Colorado @ USC N 54–69 conf_tournament
2020-03-01 2020 Colorado @ USC 55–66 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Utah @ USC 66–69 regular
2020-02-23 2020 USC @ Washington State 66–60 regular
2020-02-22 2020 USC @ Washington 66–75 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Oregon @ USC 93–67 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Oregon State @ USC 66–72 regular
2020-02-09 2020 USC @ Stanford 59–79 regular
2020-02-08 2020 USC @ California 75–67 regular
2020-02-02 2020 USC @ Arizona 57–73 regular
2020-01-31 2020 USC @ Arizona State 75–76 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Washington @ USC 78–81 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Washington State @ USC 63–74 regular
2020-01-18 2020 UCLA @ USC 68–70 regular
2020-01-12 2020 USC @ Utah 65–67 regular
2020-01-11 2020 USC @ Colorado 53–66 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Arizona State @ USC 63–54 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Arizona @ USC 65–57 regular
2019-12-29 2020 USC @ UCLA 59–83 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Long Beach State @ USC 40–57 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Nevada @ USC 47–50 regular
2019-12-19 2020 UT Rio Grande Valley @ USC 43–80 regular
2019-12-14 2020 UNLV @ USC 54–75 regular
2019-12-01 2020 USC @ Alabama N 60–57 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Nebraska @ USC N 67–54 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Texas A&M @ USC 74–64 regular
2019-11-19 2020 USC @ UC Santa Barbara 46–57 regular
2019-11-15 2020 USC @ UC Riverside 76–59 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Virginia @ USC 49–59 regular
2019-11-06 2020 USC @ Cal State Northridge 69–53 regular