cbb·system

USC Trojans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.72 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.31 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.38 possessions per game 4.66

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

USC AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.75 to 1.33 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232110 0.677

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUSC auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-18 2023 South Dakota State @ USC N 62–57 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-02 2023 Oregon State @ USC N 56–48 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 Washington State @ USC 65–68 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Washington @ USC 43–47 regular
2023-02-19 2023 USC @ California 78–81 regular
2023-02-18 2023 USC @ Stanford 47–50 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Oregon State @ USC 56–60 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Oregon @ USC 51–56 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Arizona @ USC 81–75 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Arizona State @ USC 49–64 regular
2023-01-29 2023 USC @ Colorado 71–54 regular
2023-01-28 2023 USC @ Utah 73–83 regular
2023-01-22 2023 USC @ Washington 63–54 regular
2023-01-21 2023 USC @ Washington State 51–44 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Stanford @ USC 46–55 regular
2023-01-14 2023 California @ USC 43–63 regular
2023-01-08 2023 USC @ UCLA 60–61 regular
2023-01-01 2023 USC @ Oregon 45–73 regular
2022-12-31 2023 USC @ Oregon State 69–58 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Saint Mary's @ USC 45–71 regular
2022-12-18 2023 USC @ Texas N 48–62 regular
2022-12-16 2023 UCLA @ USC 59–56 regular
2022-12-07 2023 San José State @ USC 44–71 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Merrimack @ USC 40–88 regular
2022-12-01 2023 California Baptist @ USC 58–69 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Utah State @ USC 48–79 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Pennsylvania @ USC 60–66 regular
2022-11-19 2023 USC @ San Francisco 74–48 regular
2022-11-16 2023 USC @ San Diego 58–50 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Idaho State @ USC 42–75 regular
2022-11-09 2023 Cal State Bakersfield @ USC 41–86 regular