cbb·system

USC Trojans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Elite 8 (out) 2024

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.19 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.75 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.44 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.73 possessions per game 4.57

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-07 19:00), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

USC AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans 0.87 to 1.49 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
2024296 0.829

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUSC auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-04-02 2024 UConn @ USC N 80–73 ncaa_tournament
2024-03-30 2024 Baylor @ USC N 70–74 ncaa_tournament
2024-03-26 2024 Kansas @ USC 55–73 ncaa_tournament
2024-03-23 2024 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ USC 55–87 ncaa_tournament
2024-03-10 2024 USC @ Stanford N 74–61 conf_tournament
2024-03-09 2024 UCLA @ USC N 70–80 conf_tournament
2024-03-08 2024 Arizona @ USC N 62–65 conf_tournament
2024-03-02 2024 USC @ Arizona State 70–55 regular
2024-03-01 2024 USC @ Arizona 95–93 regular
2024-02-25 2024 Utah @ USC 74–68 regular
2024-02-24 2024 Colorado @ USC 81–87 regular
2024-02-18 2024 USC @ Oregon State 58–50 regular
2024-02-17 2024 USC @ Oregon 88–51 regular
2024-02-13 2024 Arizona @ USC 64–81 regular
2024-02-10 2024 Arizona State @ USC 63–81 regular
2024-02-04 2024 USC @ California 79–69 regular
2024-02-03 2024 USC @ Stanford 67–58 regular
2024-01-28 2024 Washington @ USC 62–59 regular
2024-01-27 2024 Washington State @ USC 62–70 regular
2024-01-21 2024 USC @ Colorado 59–63 regular
2024-01-20 2024 USC @ Utah 58–78 regular
2024-01-14 2024 UCLA @ USC 65–73 regular
2024-01-07 2024 Oregon @ USC 54–68 regular
2024-01-06 2024 Oregon State @ USC 54–56 regular
2023-12-31 2024 USC @ UCLA 64–71 regular
2023-12-21 2024 USC @ Long Beach State 85–77 regular
2023-12-19 2024 Cal State Fullerton @ USC 44–93 regular
2023-12-11 2024 UC Riverside @ USC 53–85 regular
2023-12-03 2024 San Diego @ USC 58–89 regular
2023-11-29 2024 Cal Poly @ USC 44–85 regular
2023-11-23 2024 USC @ Penn State N 71–70 regular
2023-11-21 2024 Seton Hall @ USC N 54–64 regular
2023-11-14 2024 Le Moyne @ USC 42–93 regular
2023-11-11 2024 Florida Gulf Coast @ USC 51–67 regular
2023-11-06 2024 Ohio State @ USC N 74–83 regular