cbb·system

USC Trojans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Elite 8 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.19 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.67 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.52 points per possession 0.18
PACE 73.31 possessions per game 4.64

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

USC AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.90 to 1.47 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025314 0.886

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUSC auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-04-01 2025 UConn @ USC N 78–64 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-30 2025 Kansas State @ USC N 61–67 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-25 2025 Mississippi State @ USC 59–96 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-22 2025 UNC Greensboro @ USC 25–71 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-09 2025 UCLA @ USC N 72–67 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Michigan @ USC N 70–82 conf_tournament
2025-03-07 2025 Indiana @ USC N 79–84 conf_tournament
2025-03-02 2025 USC @ UCLA 80–67 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Illinois @ USC 66–76 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Michigan State @ USC 75–83 regular
2025-02-17 2025 USC @ Washington 69–64 regular
2025-02-14 2025 UCLA @ USC 60–71 regular
2025-02-09 2025 Ohio State @ USC 63–84 regular
2025-02-06 2025 USC @ Wisconsin 86–64 regular
2025-02-02 2025 USC @ Iowa 69–76 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Minnesota @ USC 69–82 regular
2025-01-23 2025 USC @ Purdue 79–37 regular
2025-01-19 2025 USC @ Indiana 73–66 regular
2025-01-16 2025 Northwestern @ USC scheduled regular
2025-01-13 2025 Penn State @ USC 73–95 regular
2025-01-09 2025 USC @ Maryland 79–74 regular
2025-01-06 2025 USC @ Rutgers 92–42 regular
2025-01-01 2025 Nebraska @ USC 55–75 regular
2024-12-30 2025 Michigan @ USC 58–78 regular
2024-12-22 2025 USC @ UConn 72–70 regular
2024-12-15 2025 Elon @ USC 30–88 regular
2024-12-11 2025 Fresno State @ USC 40–89 regular
2024-12-07 2025 USC @ Oregon 66–53 regular
2024-12-04 2025 California Baptist @ USC 52–94 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Saint Louis @ USC N 65–104 regular
2024-11-28 2025 Seton Hall @ USC N 51–84 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Notre Dame @ USC 74–61 regular
2024-11-15 2025 Santa Clara @ USC 50–81 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Cal State Northridge @ USC 39–124 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Cal Poly @ USC 35–90 regular
2024-11-04 2025 Ole Miss @ USC N 66–68 regular