cbb·system

USC Trojans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2014

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.83 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.22 points per possession 0.17
PACE 69.66 possessions per game 4.86

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

USC AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 58.09 to 152.14 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142213 0.629

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUSC auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-22 2014 USC @ St. John's N 68–71 ncaa_tournament
2014-03-10 2014 USC @ Oregon State N 71–62 conf_tournament
2014-03-09 2014 USC @ Stanford N 72–68 conf_tournament
2014-03-07 2014 USC @ Arizona State N 59–57 conf_tournament
2014-03-06 2014 Arizona @ USC N 54–59 conf_tournament
2014-03-02 2014 USC @ Colorado 66–59 regular
2014-02-28 2014 USC @ Utah 67–57 regular
2014-02-23 2014 California @ USC 76–67 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Stanford @ USC 64–59 regular
2014-02-16 2014 USC @ Oregon State 48–58 regular
2014-02-15 2014 USC @ Oregon 88–78 regular
2014-02-08 2014 UCLA @ USC 54–68 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Washington @ USC 63–55 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Washington State @ USC 79–75 regular
2014-01-28 2014 USC @ Stanford 59–86 regular
2014-01-25 2014 USC @ California 77–70 regular
2014-01-19 2014 Oregon @ USC 85–109 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Oregon State @ USC 60–81 regular
2014-01-12 2014 USC @ Arizona 54–45 regular
2014-01-11 2014 USC @ Arizona State 86–94 regular
2014-01-06 2014 Utah @ USC 47–55 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Colorado @ USC 45–55 regular
2013-12-31 2014 USC @ UCLA 56–54 regular
2013-12-28 2014 Long Beach State @ USC 72–89 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Hawai'i @ USC 55–66 regular
2013-12-20 2014 Saint Mary's @ USC 71–55 regular
2013-12-11 2014 USC @ Cal State Northridge 64–65 regular
2013-11-30 2014 USC @ Boston College N 79–52 regular
2013-11-30 2014 UNC Wilmington @ USC N 59–85 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Iowa @ USC N 78–65 regular
2013-11-26 2014 South Carolina @ USC 70–50 regular
2013-11-23 2014 USC @ Oklahoma State 51–82 regular
2013-11-14 2014 San Diego State @ USC 61–65 regular
2013-11-10 2014 USC @ Fresno State 63–54 regular
2013-11-09 2014 USC @ UC Davis 64–55 regular