cbb·system

Buffalo Bulls

mens MAC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.04 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.15 possessions per game 4.34

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Buffalo AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.80 to 1.40 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221911 0.633

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdBuffalo auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-10 2022 Buffalo @ Akron N 68–70 conf_tournament
2022-03-04 2022 Buffalo @ Kent State 65–70 regular
2022-03-02 2022 Toledo @ Buffalo 92–76 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Northern Illinois @ Buffalo 60–70 regular
2022-02-25 2022 Buffalo @ Northern Illinois 79–68 regular
2022-02-23 2022 Buffalo @ Miami (OH) 86–84 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Western Michigan @ Buffalo 73–87 regular
2022-02-17 2022 Buffalo @ Eastern Michigan 83–69 regular
2022-02-16 2022 Buffalo @ Bowling Green 112–85 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Ball State @ Buffalo 74–80 regular
2022-02-09 2022 Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo 64–102 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Buffalo @ Central Michigan 74–54 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Ohio @ Buffalo 74–53 regular
2022-01-26 2022 Buffalo @ Toledo 75–86 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Kent State @ Buffalo 51–64 regular
2022-01-19 2022 Central Michigan @ Buffalo canceled regular
2022-01-14 2022 Buffalo @ Ball State 74–68 regular
2022-01-12 2022 Buffalo @ Western Michigan 78–64 regular
2022-01-06 2022 Bowling Green @ Buffalo 88–99 regular
2022-01-05 2022 Buffalo @ Northern Illinois scheduled regular
2022-01-01 2022 Buffalo @ Akron 76–88 regular
2022-01-01 2022 Buffalo @ Eastern Michigan scheduled regular
2021-12-29 2022 Miami (OH) @ Buffalo 91–81 regular
2021-12-22 2022 UC Irvine @ Buffalo canceled regular
2021-12-18 2022 Buffalo @ Canisius N 64–65 regular
2021-12-11 2022 St. John Fisher @ Buffalo 58–100 non_d1
2021-12-09 2022 Buffalo @ Western Kentucky 77–67 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Buffalo @ St. Bonaventure 65–68 regular
2021-11-30 2022 Point Park @ Buffalo 49–94 non_d1
2021-11-24 2022 Buffalo @ Illinois State N 106–90 regular
2021-11-23 2022 Stephen F. Austin @ Buffalo N 79–78 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Rider @ Buffalo 65–87 regular
2021-11-16 2022 Buffalo @ North Texas 69–66 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Buffalo @ Michigan 76–88 regular