cbb·system

USC Trojans

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb #6 Elite 8 (out) 2021

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.18 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.30 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.13 possessions per game 4.66

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 00:47), with 39 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

USC AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans 0.59 to 1.20 over 110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021258 0.758

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdUSC auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-30 2021 USC @ Gonzaga N 66–85 ncaa_tournament
2021-03-29 2021 Oregon @ USC N 68–82 ncaa_tournament
2021-03-23 2021 USC @ Kansas N 85–51 ncaa_tournament
2021-03-20 2021 Drake @ USC N 56–72 ncaa_tournament
2021-03-13 2021 Colorado @ USC N 72–70 conf_tournament
2021-03-12 2021 Utah @ USC N 85–91 conf_tournament
2021-03-06 2021 USC @ UCLA 64–63 regular
2021-03-04 2021 Stanford @ USC 42–79 regular
2021-02-28 2021 USC @ Utah 61–71 regular
2021-02-26 2021 USC @ Colorado 62–80 regular
2021-02-23 2021 Oregon @ USC 58–72 regular
2021-02-20 2021 Arizona @ USC 81–72 regular
2021-02-18 2021 Arizona State @ USC 71–89 regular
2021-02-14 2021 USC @ Washington State 76–65 regular
2021-02-12 2021 USC @ Washington 69–54 regular
2021-02-07 2021 UCLA @ USC 48–66 regular
2021-02-03 2021 USC @ Stanford 72–66 regular
2021-01-30 2021 Oregon @ USC scheduled regular
2021-01-28 2021 Oregon State @ USC 62–75 regular
2021-01-24 2021 USC @ California 76–68 regular
2021-01-21 2021 USC @ Stanford scheduled regular
2021-01-20 2021 USC @ Oregon State 56–58 regular
2021-01-17 2021 Washington State @ USC 77–85 regular
2021-01-15 2021 Washington @ USC 68–95 regular
2021-01-13 2021 UC Riverside @ USC 62–67 regular
2021-01-10 2021 USC @ Arizona State 73–64 regular
2021-01-08 2021 USC @ Arizona 87–73 regular
2021-01-02 2021 Utah @ USC 46–64 regular
2021-01-01 2021 Colorado @ USC 72–62 regular
2020-12-30 2021 Santa Clara @ USC 63–86 regular
2020-12-23 2021 Texas Southern @ USC canceled regular
2020-12-20 2021 USC @ Oregon State scheduled regular
2020-12-17 2021 San Francisco @ USC canceled regular
2020-12-14 2021 Stanford @ USC scheduled regular
2020-12-09 2021 UC Irvine @ USC 56–91 regular
2020-12-04 2021 UConn @ USC N 61–58 regular
2020-12-01 2021 USC @ BYU N 79–53 regular
2020-11-29 2021 Montana @ USC 62–76 regular
2020-11-26 2021 California Baptist @ USC 87–95 regular