cbb·system

USC Trojans

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb #10 Round of 64 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.14 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.99 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.16 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.56 possessions per game 4.30

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

USC AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.67 to 1.27 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232211 0.667

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdUSC auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-17 2023 USC @ Michigan State N 62–72 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 Arizona State @ USC N 77–72 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Arizona State @ USC 65–68 regular
2023-03-03 2023 Arizona @ USC 87–81 regular
2023-02-26 2023 USC @ Utah 62–49 regular
2023-02-24 2023 USC @ Colorado 84–65 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Stanford @ USC 75–85 regular
2023-02-17 2023 California @ USC 60–97 regular
2023-02-11 2023 USC @ Oregon State 58–61 regular
2023-02-10 2023 USC @ Oregon 60–78 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Washington @ USC 74–80 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Washington State @ USC 70–80 regular
2023-01-27 2023 UCLA @ USC 64–77 regular
2023-01-22 2023 USC @ Arizona State 77–69 regular
2023-01-20 2023 USC @ Arizona 66–81 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Utah @ USC 56–71 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Colorado @ USC 61–68 regular
2023-01-06 2023 USC @ UCLA 58–60 regular
2023-01-01 2023 USC @ Washington State 71–81 regular
2022-12-31 2023 USC @ Washington 80–67 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Colorado State @ USC N 64–73 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Auburn @ USC 71–74 regular
2022-12-15 2023 Long Beach State @ USC 78–88 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Cal State Fullerton @ USC 50–64 regular
2022-12-05 2023 Oregon State @ USC 62–63 regular
2022-12-01 2023 USC @ California 66–51 regular
2022-11-25 2023 USC @ Wisconsin N 59–64 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Tennessee @ USC N 73–66 regular
2022-11-23 2023 BYU @ USC N 76–82 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Mount St. Mary's @ USC 74–83 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Vermont @ USC 57–59 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Alabama State @ USC 58–96 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Florida Gulf Coast @ USC 74–61 regular