cbb·system

USC Trojans

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.21 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.18 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.30 possessions per game 4.34

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 35 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

USC AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.71 to 1.32 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251718 0.486

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdUSC auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-04-04 2025 Villanova @ USC N 60–59 other_postseason
2025-04-02 2025 Tulane @ USC N 60–89 other_postseason
2025-03-14 2025 USC @ Purdue N 71–76 conf_tournament
2025-03-13 2025 USC @ Rutgers N 97–89 conf_tournament
2025-03-09 2025 USC @ UCLA 63–90 regular
2025-03-06 2025 Washington @ USC 61–92 regular
2025-03-01 2025 USC @ Oregon 61–82 regular
2025-02-27 2025 Ohio State @ USC 87–82 regular
2025-02-23 2025 USC @ Rutgers 85–95 regular
2025-02-21 2025 USC @ Maryland 71–88 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Minnesota @ USC 69–66 regular
2025-02-12 2025 Penn State @ USC 67–92 regular
2025-02-08 2025 USC @ Purdue 72–90 regular
2025-02-05 2025 USC @ Northwestern 75–77 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Michigan State @ USC 64–70 regular
2025-01-28 2025 UCLA @ USC 82–76 regular
2025-01-23 2025 USC @ Nebraska 78–73 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Wisconsin @ USC 84–69 regular
2025-01-15 2025 Iowa @ USC 89–99 regular
2025-01-11 2025 USC @ Illinois 82–72 regular
2025-01-09 2025 USC @ Indiana 69–82 regular
2025-01-05 2025 Michigan @ USC 85–74 regular
2024-12-22 2025 Southern @ USC 51–82 regular
2024-12-19 2025 Cal State Northridge @ USC 69–90 regular
2024-12-16 2025 Montana State @ USC 63–89 regular
2024-12-07 2025 USC @ Washington 85–61 regular
2024-12-05 2025 Oregon @ USC 68–60 regular
2024-11-30 2025 USC @ New Mexico N 73–83 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Saint Mary's @ USC N 71–36 regular
2024-11-25 2025 Grambling @ USC 69–80 regular
2024-11-21 2025 San José State @ USC 68–82 regular
2024-11-18 2025 California @ USC 71–66 regular
2024-11-14 2025 UT Arlington @ USC 95–98 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Idaho State @ USC 69–75 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Chattanooga @ USC 51–77 regular