cbb·system

USC Trojans

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.15 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.12 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.79 possessions per game 4.33

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

USC AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.89 to 1.48 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20261814 0.562

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdUSC auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-11 2026 USC @ Washington N 79–83 conf_tournament
2026-03-08 2026 UCLA @ USC 89–68 regular
2026-03-05 2026 USC @ Washington 72–91 regular
2026-02-28 2026 Nebraska @ USC 82–67 regular
2026-02-25 2026 USC @ UCLA 62–81 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Oregon @ USC 71–70 regular
2026-02-19 2026 Illinois @ USC 101–65 regular
2026-02-11 2026 USC @ Ohio State 82–89 regular
2026-02-08 2026 USC @ Penn State 77–75 regular
2026-02-04 2026 Indiana @ USC 75–81 regular
2026-02-01 2026 Rutgers @ USC 75–78 regular
2026-01-29 2026 USC @ Iowa 72–73 regular
2026-01-25 2026 USC @ Wisconsin 73–71 regular
2026-01-22 2026 Northwestern @ USC 74–68 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Purdue @ USC 69–64 regular
2026-01-14 2026 Maryland @ USC 71–88 regular
2026-01-10 2026 USC @ Minnesota 70–69 regular
2026-01-06 2026 USC @ Michigan State 51–80 regular
2026-01-03 2026 USC @ Michigan 66–96 regular
2025-12-21 2026 UC Santa Cruz @ USC 63–102 non_d1
2025-12-18 2026 UTSA @ USC 70–97 regular
2025-12-15 2026 Washington State @ USC 61–68 regular
2025-12-10 2026 USC @ San Diego 94–81 regular
2025-12-06 2026 Washington @ USC 84–76 regular
2025-12-03 2026 USC @ Oregon 82–77 regular
2025-11-26 2026 USC @ Arizona State N 88–75 regular
2025-11-25 2026 Seton Hall @ USC N 81–83 regular
2025-11-24 2026 USC @ Boise State N 70–67 regular
2025-11-21 2026 Troy @ USC 106–107 regular
2025-11-15 2026 Illinois State @ USC N 67–87 regular
2025-11-09 2026 Manhattan @ USC 83–114 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Cal Poly @ USC 64–94 regular