cbb·system

USC Trojans

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb #7 Round of 64 (out) 2022

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.13 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.15 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.82 possessions per game 4.52

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 38 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

USC AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 56.04 to 79.38 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
2022268 0.765

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdUSC auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-18 2022 Miami @ USC N 68–66 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-12 2022 USC @ UCLA N 59–69 conf_tournament
2022-03-11 2022 Washington @ USC N 61–65 conf_tournament
2022-03-06 2022 USC @ UCLA 68–75 regular
2022-03-02 2022 Arizona @ USC 91–71 regular
2022-02-27 2022 USC @ Oregon 70–69 regular
2022-02-25 2022 USC @ Oregon State 94–91 regular
2022-02-21 2022 Washington State @ USC 60–62 regular
2022-02-18 2022 Washington @ USC 69–79 regular
2022-02-13 2022 UCLA @ USC 64–67 regular
2022-02-09 2022 Pacific @ USC 68–74 regular
2022-02-05 2022 USC @ Arizona 63–72 regular
2022-02-04 2022 USC @ Arizona State 58–53 regular
2022-01-30 2022 California @ USC 72–79 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Stanford @ USC 64–61 regular
2022-01-25 2022 Arizona State @ USC 56–78 regular
2022-01-22 2022 USC @ Utah 79–67 regular
2022-01-21 2022 USC @ Colorado 61–58 regular
2022-01-16 2022 Oregon @ USC 79–69 regular
2022-01-14 2022 Oregon State @ USC 71–81 regular
2022-01-11 2022 USC @ Stanford 69–75 regular
2022-01-09 2022 USC @ Stanford scheduled regular
2022-01-07 2022 USC @ California 77–63 regular
2022-01-02 2022 Arizona @ USC scheduled regular
2021-12-31 2022 Arizona State @ USC scheduled regular
2021-12-22 2022 USC @ Oklahoma State N canceled regular
2021-12-18 2022 Georgia Tech @ USC N 53–67 regular
2021-12-16 2022 UC Irvine @ USC 61–66 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Long Beach State @ USC 62–73 regular
2021-12-08 2022 Eastern Kentucky @ USC 68–80 regular
2021-12-04 2022 USC @ Washington State 63–61 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Utah @ USC 73–93 regular
2021-11-27 2022 USC @ San Diego State N 58–43 regular
2021-11-26 2022 USC @ Saint Joseph's N 70–55 regular
2021-11-23 2022 Utah Tech @ USC 71–98 regular
2021-11-16 2022 USC @ Florida Gulf Coast 78–61 regular
2021-11-14 2022 USC @ Temple 76–71 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Cal State Northridge @ USC 49–89 regular