cbb·system

USC Trojans

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.13 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.01 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.12 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.88 possessions per game 4.50

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-09 01:20), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

USC AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans 56.86 to 79.26 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20241518 0.455

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdUSC auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-14 2024 USC @ Arizona N 49–70 conf_tournament
2024-03-13 2024 USC @ Washington N 80–74 conf_tournament
2024-03-10 2024 Arizona @ USC 65–78 regular
2024-03-08 2024 Arizona State @ USC 73–81 regular
2024-03-02 2024 USC @ Washington 82–75 regular
2024-03-01 2024 USC @ Washington State 72–75 regular
2024-02-25 2024 USC @ UCLA 62–56 regular
2024-02-18 2024 Colorado @ USC 92–89 regular
2024-02-16 2024 Utah @ USC 64–68 regular
2024-02-11 2024 USC @ Stanford 68–99 regular
2024-02-08 2024 USC @ California 77–83 regular
2024-02-04 2024 Oregon State @ USC 54–82 regular
2024-02-02 2024 Oregon @ USC 78–69 regular
2024-01-28 2024 UCLA @ USC 65–50 regular
2024-01-20 2024 USC @ Arizona State 67–82 regular
2024-01-18 2024 USC @ Arizona 67–82 regular
2024-01-14 2024 USC @ Colorado 58–68 regular
2024-01-11 2024 Washington State @ USC 72–64 regular
2024-01-06 2024 Stanford @ USC 79–93 regular
2024-01-04 2024 California @ USC 74–82 regular
2023-12-31 2024 USC @ Oregon State 70–86 regular
2023-12-29 2024 USC @ Oregon 74–82 regular
2023-12-20 2024 USC @ Alabama State 79–59 regular
2023-12-17 2024 USC @ Auburn 75–91 regular
2023-12-10 2024 Long Beach State @ USC 84–79 regular
2023-12-03 2024 Gonzaga @ USC N 89–76 regular
2023-11-30 2024 Eastern Washington @ USC 78–106 regular
2023-11-24 2024 Oklahoma @ USC N 72–70 regular
2023-11-23 2024 Seton Hall @ USC N 63–71 regular
2023-11-20 2024 Brown @ USC 70–81 regular
2023-11-15 2024 UC Irvine @ USC 70–60 regular
2023-11-10 2024 Cal State Bakersfield @ USC 59–85 regular
2023-11-07 2024 Kansas State @ USC N 69–82 regular