Arkansas State Red Wolves
mens
Sun Belt
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2024
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.14 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 1.11 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | 0.03 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 67.49 | possessions per game | 4.49 |
At season 2024's latest cutoff
(2024-04-09 01:20),
with 38 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024.
Axis spans 0.81 to 1.37 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2024
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | 17 | 0.541 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Arkansas State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-26 | 2024 | High Point @ Arkansas State N | 81–80 | other_postseason |
| 2024-03-25 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Montana N | 74–61 | other_postseason |
| 2024-03-23 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Bethune-Cookman N | 86–85 | other_postseason |
| 2024-03-11 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ James Madison N | 71–91 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-10 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ App State N | 67–65 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-09 | 2024 | Louisiana @ Arkansas State N | 62–89 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-01 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ App State | 57–80 | regular |
| 2024-02-29 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina | 71–60 | regular |
| 2024-02-24 | 2024 | South Alabama @ Arkansas State | 78–95 | regular |
| 2024-02-23 | 2024 | Troy @ Arkansas State | 71–79 | regular |
| 2024-02-17 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ South Alabama | 76–73 | regular |
| 2024-02-16 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Troy | 82–71 | regular |
| 2024-02-10 | 2024 | Ohio @ Arkansas State | 87–100 | regular |
| 2024-02-08 | 2024 | James Madison @ Arkansas State | 77–73 | regular |
| 2024-02-03 | 2024 | UL Monroe @ Arkansas State | 80–95 | regular |
| 2024-02-01 | 2024 | Southern Miss @ Arkansas State | 71–78 | regular |
| 2024-01-28 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ UL Monroe | 82–85 | regular |
| 2024-01-26 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Louisiana | 75–81 | regular |
| 2024-01-26 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Louisiana | scheduled | regular |
| 2024-01-20 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | 79–72 | regular |
| 2024-01-18 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Southern Miss | 66–69 | regular |
| 2024-01-13 | 2024 | Louisiana @ Arkansas State | 84–77 | regular |
| 2024-01-12 | 2024 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 82–85 | regular |
| 2024-01-06 | 2024 | Old Dominion @ Arkansas State | 75–90 | regular |
| 2024-01-05 | 2024 | Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State | 83–109 | regular |
| 2023-12-30 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Georgia State | 90–91 | regular |
| 2023-12-21 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Belmont | 70–74 | regular |
| 2023-12-14 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Louisville | 75–63 | regular |
| 2023-12-09 | 2024 | UAB @ Arkansas State | 68–87 | regular |
| 2023-12-05 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Alabama | 65–89 | regular |
| 2023-12-02 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Little Rock | 66–77 | regular |
| 2023-11-29 | 2024 | Jackson State @ Arkansas State | 75–71 | regular |
| 2023-11-26 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ UT Rio Grande Valley N | 75–58 | regular |
| 2023-11-25 | 2024 | San Diego @ Arkansas State N | 71–57 | regular |
| 2023-11-18 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Iowa | 74–88 | regular |
| 2023-11-15 | 2024 | Alcorn State @ Arkansas State | 86–100 | regular |
| 2023-11-11 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Bowling Green | 75–81 | regular |
| 2023-11-07 | 2024 | Arkansas State @ Wisconsin | 76–105 | regular |