Arkansas State Red Wolves
mens
Sun Belt
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.12 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.04 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.08 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 68.99 | possessions per game | 4.29 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-08 00:50),
with 35 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 0.62 to 1.32 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25 | 11 | 0.694 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Arkansas State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-23 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ North Texas | 63–65 | nit |
| 2025-03-19 | 2025 | Saint Louis @ Arkansas State | 78–103 | nit |
| 2025-03-10 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Troy N | 81–94 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-09 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ South Alabama N | 74–71 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-08 | 2025 | Marshall @ Arkansas State N | 74–77 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-01 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ UL Monroe | 94–67 | regular |
| 2025-02-27 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Louisiana | 83–64 | regular |
| 2025-02-22 | 2025 | UL Monroe @ Arkansas State | 70–95 | regular |
| 2025-02-20 | 2025 | South Alabama @ Arkansas State | 60–56 | regular |
| 2025-02-16 | 2025 | Troy @ Arkansas State | 71–70 | regular |
| 2025-02-13 | 2025 | Southern Miss @ Arkansas State | 67–101 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Kent State | 75–76 | regular |
| 2025-02-06 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Marshall | 72–77 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | 85–74 | regular |
| 2025-01-30 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Southern Miss | 81–68 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 65–80 | regular |
| 2025-01-24 | 2025 | App State @ Arkansas State | 55–65 | regular |
| 2025-01-18 | 2025 | Georgia State @ Arkansas State | 59–85 | regular |
| 2025-01-17 | 2025 | Louisiana @ Arkansas State | 63–83 | regular |
| 2025-01-11 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Troy | 84–78 | regular |
| 2025-01-10 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ South Alabama | 62–76 | regular |
| 2025-01-04 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ James Madison | 62–67 | regular |
| 2025-01-03 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Old Dominion | 78–59 | regular |
| 2024-12-21 | 2025 | Coastal Carolina @ Arkansas State | 67–97 | regular |
| 2024-12-15 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ UAB | 98–89 | regular |
| 2024-12-13 | 2025 | UT Arlington @ Arkansas State | 79–83 | regular |
| 2024-12-08 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Memphis | 85–72 | regular |
| 2024-12-06 | 2025 | Jackson State @ Arkansas State | 64–66 | regular |
| 2024-12-01 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Hofstra N | 66–68 | regular |
| 2024-12-01 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Rice N | 67–75 | regular |
| 2024-11-29 | 2025 | Indiana State @ Arkansas State N | 81–86 | regular |
| 2024-11-23 | 2025 | Lane College @ Arkansas State | 60–103 | non_d1 |
| 2024-11-16 | 2025 | Stephen F. Austin @ Arkansas State | 49–59 | regular |
| 2024-11-13 | 2025 | Little Rock @ Arkansas State | 63–80 | regular |
| 2024-11-09 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Alabama | 79–88 | regular |
| 2024-11-05 | 2025 | Akron @ Arkansas State | 75–80 | regular |