Arkansas State Red Wolves
mens
Sun Belt
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2022
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.01 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.02 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.02 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 67.50 | possessions per game | 4.45 |
At season 2022's latest cutoff
(2022-04-05 01:20),
with 29 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up show · hidden
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022.
Axis spans 58.59 to 77.51 over
65 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle
above brings it back.
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2022
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | 11 | 0.621 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Arkansas State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-05 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ Georgia State N | 62–65 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-03 | 2022 | UL Monroe @ Arkansas State N | 77–81 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-02-26 | 2022 | App State @ Arkansas State | 60–62 | regular |
| 2022-02-24 | 2022 | Coastal Carolina @ Arkansas State | 74–69 | regular |
| 2022-02-19 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ UT Arlington | 58–49 | regular |
| 2022-02-18 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | 67–84 | regular |
| 2022-02-13 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ South Alabama | 51–70 | regular |
| 2022-02-11 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ Troy | 77–79 | regular |
| 2022-02-05 | 2022 | Louisiana @ Arkansas State | 58–67 | regular |
| 2022-02-04 | 2022 | UL Monroe @ Arkansas State | 60–59 | regular |
| 2022-01-29 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina | 73–66 | regular |
| 2022-01-27 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ App State | 54–61 | regular |
| 2022-01-22 | 2022 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 60–67 | regular |
| 2022-01-21 | 2022 | UT Arlington @ Arkansas State | 70–75 | regular |
| 2022-01-15 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ Little Rock | canceled | regular |
| 2022-01-14 | 2022 | Little Rock @ Arkansas State | canceled | regular |
| 2022-01-08 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ UL Monroe | 90–83 | regular |
| 2022-01-07 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ Louisiana | 77–83 | regular |
| 2022-01-01 | 2022 | Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State | 56–74 | regular |
| 2021-12-31 | 2022 | Georgia State @ Arkansas State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-12-21 | 2022 | Lyon @ Arkansas State | 66–88 | non_d1 |
| 2021-12-19 | 2022 | Air Force @ Arkansas State | 46–68 | regular |
| 2021-12-15 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ Texas Tech | 62–75 | regular |
| 2021-12-11 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ Mississippi Valley State | 82–77 | regular |
| 2021-12-09 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 84–73 | regular |
| 2021-12-04 | 2022 | Central Arkansas @ Arkansas State | 82–95 | regular |
| 2021-11-28 | 2022 | Kansas City @ Arkansas State | 55–66 | regular |
| 2021-11-27 | 2022 | Morehead State @ Arkansas State | 75–51 | regular |
| 2021-11-20 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ Southeast Missouri State | 72–60 | regular |
| 2021-11-16 | 2022 | Central Baptist College @ Arkansas State | 63–90 | non_d1 |
| 2021-11-13 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ Illinois | 53–92 | regular |
| 2021-11-10 | 2022 | Harding @ Arkansas State | 55–81 | non_d1 |