Arkansas State Red Wolves
mens
Sun Belt
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2023
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.01 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.11 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | -0.10 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 63.03 | possessions per game | 4.58 |
At season 2023's latest cutoff
(2023-04-04 01:20),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023.
Axis spans 51.46 to 73.15 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2023
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 13 | 20 | 0.394 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Arkansas State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-02 | 2023 | Arkansas State @ Troy N | 59–63 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-02-28 | 2023 | Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina N | 86–69 | regular |
| 2023-02-25 | 2023 | Arkansas State @ UL Monroe | 64–61 | regular |
| 2023-02-23 | 2023 | Arkansas State @ Louisiana | 74–85 | regular |
| 2023-02-18 | 2023 | Georgia State @ Arkansas State | 70–75 | regular |
| 2023-02-17 | 2023 | Troy @ Arkansas State | 67–62 | regular |
| 2023-02-11 | 2023 | Arkansas State @ Georgia Southern | 53–68 | regular |
| 2023-02-10 | 2023 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | 62–66 | regular |
| 2023-02-04 | 2023 | Coastal Carolina @ Arkansas State | 57–73 | regular |
| 2023-02-03 | 2023 | South Alabama @ Arkansas State | 82–62 | regular |
| 2023-01-28 | 2023 | Arkansas State @ App State | 51–63 | regular |
| 2023-01-27 | 2023 | Arkansas State @ Southern Miss | 57–73 | regular |
| 2023-01-21 | 2023 | Marshall @ Arkansas State | 87–78 | regular |
| 2023-01-20 | 2023 | Louisiana @ Arkansas State | 80–71 | regular |
| 2023-01-14 | 2023 | Southern Miss @ Arkansas State | 74–57 | regular |
| 2023-01-13 | 2023 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 61–58 | regular |
| 2023-01-07 | 2023 | Arkansas State @ Troy | 54–66 | regular |
| 2023-01-06 | 2023 | Arkansas State @ South Alabama | 45–63 | regular |
| 2022-12-31 | 2023 | UL Monroe @ Arkansas State | 84–72 | regular |
| 2022-12-30 | 2023 | Arkansas State @ Old Dominion | 60–57 | regular |
| 2022-12-22 | 2023 | Little Rock @ Arkansas State | 75–77 | regular |
| 2022-12-20 | 2023 | Alabama State @ Arkansas State | 65–72 | regular |
| 2022-12-15 | 2023 | Southeast Missouri State @ Arkansas State | 61–68 | regular |
| 2022-12-10 | 2023 | Arkansas State @ Air Force | 55–80 | regular |
| 2022-12-07 | 2023 | Arkansas State @ Central Arkansas | 67–72 | regular |
| 2022-12-02 | 2023 | Mississippi Valley State @ Arkansas State | 38–58 | regular |
| 2022-11-27 | 2023 | Bethel (TN) @ Arkansas State | 65–90 | non_d1 |
| 2022-11-26 | 2023 | Prairie View A&M @ Arkansas State | 67–59 | regular |
| 2022-11-22 | 2023 | UT Martin @ Arkansas State | 64–70 | regular |
| 2022-11-19 | 2023 | Arkansas State @ UC Davis | 60–75 | regular |
| 2022-11-15 | 2023 | Lyon @ Arkansas State | 58–82 | non_d1 |
| 2022-11-12 | 2023 | Arkansas State @ LSU | 52–61 | regular |
| 2022-11-08 | 2023 | Harding @ Arkansas State | 55–86 | non_d1 |