Texas State Bobcats
mens
Sun Belt
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.59 | points per possession | 0.54 |
| DE | 0.75 | points per possession | 0.50 |
| ME | -0.15 | points per possession | 0.73 |
| PACE | 63.05 | possessions per game | 4.95 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-06 01:20),
with 28 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans -1.97 to 1.80 over
111 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | 7 | 0.720 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Texas State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-07 | 2021 | App State @ Texas State N | 76–73 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | UL Monroe @ Texas State | 57–61 | regular |
| 2021-02-26 | 2021 | UL Monroe @ Texas State | 49–58 | regular |
| 2021-02-23 | 2021 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 57–52 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-17 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | UT Arlington @ Texas State | 68–79 | regular |
| 2021-02-12 | 2021 | Texas State @ UT Arlington | 63–56 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Little Rock @ Texas State | 67–77 | regular |
| 2021-02-05 | 2021 | Little Rock @ Texas State | 47–57 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Louisiana @ Texas State | 74–73 | regular |
| 2021-01-29 | 2021 | Louisiana @ Texas State | 62–60 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Texas State @ UL Monroe | 69–63 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Texas State @ UL Monroe | 57–47 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Texas State @ Little Rock | 67–56 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Texas State @ Little Rock | 63–59 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-08 | 2021 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Texas State @ Louisiana | 71–59 | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Texas State @ Louisiana | 77–83 | regular |
| 2020-12-21 | 2021 | Northern Arizona @ Texas State N | 65–70 | regular |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | Texas State @ Denver | 70–68 | regular |
| 2020-12-16 | 2021 | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Texas State | 46–51 | regular |
| 2020-12-12 | 2021 | Our Lady Of The Lake @ Texas State | 61–58 | non_d1 |
| 2020-12-10 | 2021 | Texas State @ Texas | 53–74 | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | Incarnate Word @ Texas State | 64–72 | regular |
| 2020-12-01 | 2021 | Texas State @ Mississippi State | 51–68 | regular |
| 2020-11-28 | 2021 | Texas State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 75–63 | regular |
| 2020-11-26 | 2021 | Mary Hardin-Baylor @ Texas State | 59–98 | non_d1 |