Texas State Bobcats
mens
Sun Belt
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2022
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.06 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.04 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.03 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 63.19 | possessions per game | 4.70 |
At season 2022's latest cutoff
(2022-04-05 01:20),
with 29 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022.
Axis spans 53.60 to 73.75 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2022
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | 8 | 0.724 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Texas State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-16 | 2022 | Texas State @ North Texas | 63–67 | nit |
| 2022-03-05 | 2022 | Louisiana @ Texas State N | 79–72 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-02-26 | 2022 | Texas State @ Troy | 66–61 | regular |
| 2022-02-24 | 2022 | Texas State @ South Alabama | 55–52 | regular |
| 2022-02-19 | 2022 | Little Rock @ Texas State | 50–68 | regular |
| 2022-02-18 | 2022 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | 67–84 | regular |
| 2022-02-12 | 2022 | Texas State @ UL Monroe | 63–54 | regular |
| 2022-02-11 | 2022 | Texas State @ Louisiana | 82–73 | regular |
| 2022-02-05 | 2022 | Coastal Carolina @ Texas State | 64–69 | regular |
| 2022-02-03 | 2022 | App State @ Texas State | 66–68 | regular |
| 2022-01-29 | 2022 | UT Arlington @ Texas State | 53–58 | regular |
| 2022-01-28 | 2022 | Texas State @ UT Arlington | 58–70 | regular |
| 2022-01-22 | 2022 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 60–67 | regular |
| 2022-01-21 | 2022 | Texas State @ Little Rock | 69–59 | regular |
| 2022-01-15 | 2022 | Louisiana @ Texas State | 68–72 | regular |
| 2022-01-14 | 2022 | UL Monroe @ Texas State | 56–80 | regular |
| 2022-01-08 | 2022 | Texas State @ Georgia State | canceled | regular |
| 2022-01-07 | 2022 | Texas State @ Georgia Southern | canceled | regular |
| 2022-01-01 | 2022 | South Alabama @ Texas State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-12-31 | 2022 | Troy @ Texas State | 78–63 | regular |
| 2021-12-23 | 2022 | Texas State @ Houston | 47–80 | regular |
| 2021-12-18 | 2022 | Paul Quinn @ Texas State | 36–75 | non_d1 |
| 2021-12-16 | 2022 | Lamar @ Texas State | 47–67 | regular |
| 2021-12-12 | 2022 | Southwestern (TX) @ Texas State | 54–101 | non_d1 |
| 2021-12-05 | 2022 | Denver @ Texas State | 58–71 | regular |
| 2021-12-01 | 2022 | Texas State @ Rice | 80–69 | regular |
| 2021-11-25 | 2022 | LeTourneau @ Texas State | 47–92 | non_d1 |
| 2021-11-21 | 2022 | Texas State @ Eastern Washington N | 81–74 | regular |
| 2021-11-19 | 2022 | Texas State @ Utah Tech N | 85–65 | regular |
| 2021-11-15 | 2022 | Texas State @ Vanderbilt | 60–79 | regular |
| 2021-11-13 | 2022 | Texas State @ LSU | 59–84 | regular |
| 2021-11-10 | 2022 | Texas State @ Incarnate Word | 75–57 | regular |