Texas State Bobcats
mens
Sun Belt
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.10 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.16 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.05 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 66.98 | possessions per game | 4.45 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-08 00:50),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 53.67 to 76.02 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16 | 16 | 0.500 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Texas State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-07 | 2025 | Old Dominion @ Texas State N | 64–61 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-01 | 2025 | James Madison @ Texas State | 93–102 | regular |
| 2025-02-26 | 2025 | Troy @ Texas State | 74–69 | regular |
| 2025-02-22 | 2025 | South Alabama @ Texas State | 92–93 | regular |
| 2025-02-20 | 2025 | UL Monroe @ Texas State | 63–80 | regular |
| 2025-02-15 | 2025 | Texas State @ South Alabama | 65–70 | regular |
| 2025-02-14 | 2025 | Texas State @ UL Monroe | 72–60 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | Texas State @ Central Michigan | 70–85 | regular |
| 2025-02-06 | 2025 | Texas State @ Old Dominion | 64–75 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | 85–74 | regular |
| 2025-01-31 | 2025 | Louisiana @ Texas State | 70–61 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 65–80 | regular |
| 2025-01-23 | 2025 | Texas State @ Louisiana | 89–74 | regular |
| 2025-01-18 | 2025 | Southern Miss @ Texas State | 82–85 | regular |
| 2025-01-16 | 2025 | Georgia State @ Texas State | 80–94 | regular |
| 2025-01-11 | 2025 | Texas State @ Southern Miss | 88–92 | regular |
| 2025-01-10 | 2025 | Texas State @ Troy | 74–73 | regular |
| 2025-01-04 | 2025 | Texas State @ App State | 61–72 | regular |
| 2025-01-03 | 2025 | Texas State @ Marshall | 71–77 | regular |
| 2024-12-29 | 2025 | UT Arlington @ Texas State | 80–72 | regular |
| 2024-12-21 | 2025 | Georgia Southern @ Texas State | 61–83 | regular |
| 2024-12-14 | 2025 | Texas State @ Florida Atlantic | 80–89 | regular |
| 2024-12-08 | 2025 | Rice @ Texas State | 66–75 | regular |
| 2024-12-05 | 2025 | Arlington Baptist @ Texas State | 49–97 | non_d1 |
| 2024-12-01 | 2025 | Texas State @ Texas Southern | 72–59 | regular |
| 2024-11-25 | 2025 | Ohio @ Texas State N | 65–74 | regular |
| 2024-11-23 | 2025 | Texas State @ Princeton N | 83–80 | regular |
| 2024-11-21 | 2025 | Bradley @ Texas State N | 82–68 | regular |
| 2024-11-16 | 2025 | Texas State @ Abilene Christian | 60–72 | regular |
| 2024-11-13 | 2025 | Texas State @ TCU | 71–76 | regular |
| 2024-11-09 | 2025 | McMurry @ Texas State | 62–102 | non_d1 |
| 2024-11-05 | 2025 | Eastern Michigan @ Texas State | 44–64 | regular |