Texas State Bobcats
mens
Sun Belt
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.05 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.14 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.09 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 66.17 | possessions per game | 4.58 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 56.54 to 76.83 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 13 | 0.594 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Texas State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | 2026 | Southern Miss @ Texas State N | 81–77 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026 | App State @ Texas State | 57–60 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | Texas State @ Louisiana | 54–67 | regular |
| 2026-02-20 | 2026 | Texas State @ South Alabama | 90–82 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | UL Monroe @ Texas State | 84–95 | regular |
| 2026-02-12 | 2026 | Troy @ Texas State | 62–74 | regular |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026 | Western Michigan @ Texas State | 61–77 | regular |
| 2026-02-05 | 2026 | Texas State @ Georgia Southern | 77–71 | regular |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026 | Old Dominion @ Texas State | 64–81 | regular |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026 | Marshall @ Texas State | 68–72 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | Texas State @ James Madison | 57–82 | regular |
| 2026-01-23 | 2026 | Texas State @ Coastal Carolina | 70–72 | regular |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026 | Southern Miss @ Texas State | 67–74 | regular |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026 | Louisiana @ Texas State | 54–59 | regular |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026 | Texas State @ Arkansas State | 82–83 | regular |
| 2026-01-09 | 2026 | Texas State @ Southern Miss | 70–80 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | Texas State @ UL Monroe | 84–79 | regular |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026 | Texas State @ Troy | 80–100 | regular |
| 2025-12-20 | 2026 | South Alabama @ Texas State | 65–67 | regular |
| 2025-12-18 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Texas State | 89–70 | regular |
| 2025-12-11 | 2026 | Southern @ Texas State | 83–86 | regular |
| 2025-12-04 | 2026 | Texas State @ Rice | 72–77 | regular |
| 2025-11-29 | 2026 | Lehigh @ Texas State N | 78–74 | regular |
| 2025-11-28 | 2026 | Texas State @ Seattle U N | 52–66 | regular |
| 2025-11-25 | 2026 | Texas Lutheran @ Texas State | 41–93 | non_d1 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2026 | Little Rock @ Texas State | 56–65 | regular |
| 2025-11-19 | 2026 | Abilene Christian @ Texas State | 49–63 | regular |
| 2025-11-15 | 2026 | Texas Southern @ Texas State | 67–77 | regular |
| 2025-11-13 | 2026 | UTSA @ Texas State | 69–80 | regular |
| 2025-11-08 | 2026 | Texas State @ Tulane | 71–79 | regular |
| 2025-11-06 | 2026 | Texas A&M-San Antonio @ Texas State | 55–114 | non_d1 |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Texas State @ Bowling Green | 48–83 | regular |