Air Force Falcons
mens
Mountain West
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2022
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.96 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.06 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.10 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 62.71 | possessions per game | 4.74 |
At season 2022's latest cutoff
(2022-04-05 01:20),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022.
Axis spans 0.71 to 1.32 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2022
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 11 | 18 | 0.379 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Air Force | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-09 | 2022 | Air Force @ Utah State N | 56–83 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-02 | 2022 | San José State @ Air Force | 54–58 | regular |
| 2022-02-26 | 2022 | Air Force @ New Mexico | 65–69 | regular |
| 2022-02-23 | 2022 | Fresno State @ Air Force | 65–40 | regular |
| 2022-02-19 | 2022 | Air Force @ Wyoming | 67–75 | regular |
| 2022-02-17 | 2022 | Boise State @ Air Force | 85–59 | regular |
| 2022-02-13 | 2022 | Air Force @ San Diego State | 64–76 | regular |
| 2022-02-09 | 2022 | Air Force @ UNLV | 44–78 | regular |
| 2022-02-06 | 2022 | New Mexico @ Air Force | 91–77 | regular |
| 2022-02-02 | 2022 | Air Force @ Utah State | 46–73 | regular |
| 2022-01-28 | 2022 | Wyoming @ Air Force | 63–61 | regular |
| 2022-01-26 | 2022 | Air Force @ San José State | 63–53 | regular |
| 2022-01-22 | 2022 | Colorado State @ Air Force | 73–53 | regular |
| 2022-01-21 | 2022 | UNLV @ Air Force | 62–69 | regular |
| 2022-01-19 | 2022 | Air Force @ Boise State | 56–62 | regular |
| 2022-01-15 | 2022 | Nevada @ Air Force | 75–68 | regular |
| 2022-01-09 | 2022 | UNLV @ Air Force | scheduled | regular |
| 2022-01-05 | 2022 | Air Force @ Colorado State | 59–67 | regular |
| 2022-01-01 | 2022 | Air Force @ Fresno State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-12-29 | 2022 | Utah State @ Air Force | 47–49 | regular |
| 2021-12-22 | 2022 | Air Force @ Tarleton State | 45–67 | regular |
| 2021-12-19 | 2022 | Air Force @ Arkansas State | 46–68 | regular |
| 2021-12-09 | 2022 | Air Force @ Montana | 48–66 | regular |
| 2021-12-04 | 2022 | Army @ Air Force | 58–76 | regular |
| 2021-11-27 | 2022 | Idaho State @ Air Force | 48–59 | regular |
| 2021-11-24 | 2022 | Denver @ Air Force | 65–66 | regular |
| 2021-11-21 | 2022 | Air Force @ Bethune-Cookman N | 73–65 | regular |
| 2021-11-20 | 2022 | Holy Cross @ Air Force N | 53–72 | regular |
| 2021-11-18 | 2022 | Texas Southern @ Air Force | 57–61 | regular |
| 2021-11-13 | 2022 | Air Force @ Tulsa | 59–58 | regular |
| 2021-11-11 | 2022 | Air Force @ South Dakota | 53–59 | regular |