Air Force Falcons
mens
Mountain West
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2023
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.07 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.06 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.01 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 63.44 | possessions per game | 4.50 |
At season 2023's latest cutoff
(2023-04-04 01:20),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023.
Axis spans 0.70 to 1.33 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2023
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 14 | 18 | 0.438 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Air Force | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-08 | 2023 | Air Force @ UNLV N | 70–78 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-04 | 2023 | San José State @ Air Force | 63–61 | regular |
| 2023-02-25 | 2023 | Air Force @ UNLV | 53–54 | regular |
| 2023-02-22 | 2023 | Fresno State @ Air Force | 74–69 | regular |
| 2023-02-18 | 2023 | Air Force @ Wyoming | 75–69 | regular |
| 2023-02-15 | 2023 | Air Force @ Utah State | 65–80 | regular |
| 2023-02-11 | 2023 | New Mexico @ Air Force | 77–89 | regular |
| 2023-02-08 | 2023 | Colorado State @ Air Force | 69–53 | regular |
| 2023-02-04 | 2023 | Air Force @ Nevada | 52–72 | regular |
| 2023-02-01 | 2023 | Boise State @ Air Force | 59–52 | regular |
| 2023-01-28 | 2023 | Air Force @ New Mexico | 73–81 | regular |
| 2023-01-25 | 2023 | Air Force @ San José State | 52–82 | regular |
| 2023-01-22 | 2023 | San Diego State @ Air Force | 70–60 | regular |
| 2023-01-18 | 2023 | Wyoming @ Air Force | 74–82 | regular |
| 2023-01-15 | 2023 | Air Force @ Fresno State | 51–48 | regular |
| 2023-01-11 | 2023 | Air Force @ Colorado State | 85–74 | regular |
| 2023-01-04 | 2023 | Utah State @ Air Force | 77–65 | regular |
| 2022-12-31 | 2023 | Nevada @ Air Force | 75–69 | regular |
| 2022-12-29 | 2023 | Air Force @ San Diego State | 55–71 | regular |
| 2022-12-21 | 2023 | Air Force @ Northern Colorado | 67–65 | regular |
| 2022-12-18 | 2023 | Tarleton State @ Air Force | 67–81 | regular |
| 2022-12-10 | 2023 | Arkansas State @ Air Force | 55–80 | regular |
| 2022-12-06 | 2023 | South Dakota @ Air Force | 58–79 | regular |
| 2022-12-03 | 2023 | Air Force @ Portland State | 64–68 | regular |
| 2022-12-01 | 2023 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Air Force | 53–81 | regular |
| 2022-11-27 | 2023 | Montana @ Air Force | 56–59 | regular |
| 2022-11-23 | 2023 | Mississippi Valley State @ Air Force | 51–64 | regular |
| 2022-11-22 | 2023 | South Carolina Upstate @ Air Force | 56–83 | regular |
| 2022-11-18 | 2023 | Portland @ Air Force | 64–51 | regular |
| 2022-11-15 | 2023 | East Texas A&M @ Air Force | 73–69 | regular |
| 2022-11-11 | 2023 | Delaware @ Air Force | 71–75 | regular |
| 2022-11-08 | 2023 | Air Force @ Bowling Green | 58–62 | regular |