Air Force Falcons
mens
Mountain West
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.96 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| DE | 1.18 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.22 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 65.70 | possessions per game | 4.60 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 0.86 to 1.45 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 29 | 0.094 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Air Force | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | 2026 | Air Force @ Nevada N | 45–80 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-08 | 2026 | Air Force @ Nevada | 59–74 | regular |
| 2026-03-04 | 2026 | Grand Canyon @ Air Force | 86–60 | regular |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026 | Air Force @ Wyoming | 62–66 | regular |
| 2026-02-25 | 2026 | San José State @ Air Force | 86–80 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | UNLV @ Air Force | 91–66 | regular |
| 2026-02-18 | 2026 | Air Force @ New Mexico | 61–98 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | Air Force @ Fresno State | 63–93 | regular |
| 2026-02-11 | 2026 | Colorado State @ Air Force | 91–74 | regular |
| 2026-02-08 | 2026 | San Diego State @ Air Force | 88–54 | regular |
| 2026-02-04 | 2026 | Air Force @ Grand Canyon | 57–81 | regular |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026 | Fresno State @ Air Force | 79–62 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | Air Force @ Boise State | 54–96 | regular |
| 2026-01-21 | 2026 | Air Force @ Colorado State | 52–81 | regular |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026 | Nevada @ Air Force | 81–66 | regular |
| 2026-01-14 | 2026 | Air Force @ San José State | 62–70 | regular |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026 | New Mexico @ Air Force | 91–49 | regular |
| 2026-01-07 | 2026 | Utah State @ Air Force | 99–62 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | Air Force @ UNLV | 39–67 | regular |
| 2025-12-30 | 2026 | Wyoming @ Air Force | 68–56 | regular |
| 2025-12-18 | 2026 | Air Force @ San Diego State | 58–81 | regular |
| 2025-12-07 | 2026 | Air Force @ Navy | 56–61 | regular |
| 2025-12-04 | 2026 | Pacific @ Air Force | 80–65 | regular |
| 2025-11-29 | 2026 | Air Force @ South Dakota | 63–80 | regular |
| 2025-11-26 | 2026 | Northern Colorado @ Air Force | 71–53 | regular |
| 2025-11-23 | 2026 | IU Indianapolis @ Air Force | 85–98 | regular |
| 2025-11-21 | 2026 | SIU Edwardsville @ Air Force | 63–77 | regular |
| 2025-11-19 | 2026 | Alabama State @ Air Force | 64–66 | regular |
| 2025-11-15 | 2026 | Miami (OH) @ Air Force | 76–61 | regular |
| 2025-11-11 | 2026 | Long Island University @ Air Force | 76–72 | regular |
| 2025-11-08 | 2026 | Austin Peay @ Air Force | 74–54 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | Air Force @ Belmont | 63–79 | regular |