Air Force Falcons
mens
Mountain West
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.95 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| DE | 1.11 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | -0.17 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 63.21 | possessions per game | 4.83 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 27 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up show · hidden
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 0.66 to 1.23 over
58 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle
above brings it back.
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 5 | 20 | 0.200 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Air Force | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-10 | 2021 | Air Force @ UNLV N | 52–80 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-02 | 2021 | Air Force @ Colorado State | 44–74 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Air Force @ Colorado State | 49–72 | regular |
| 2021-02-24 | 2021 | New Mexico @ Air Force | 55–62 | regular |
| 2021-02-23 | 2021 | New Mexico @ Air Force | 73–65 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Air Force | 67–64 | regular |
| 2021-02-12 | 2021 | Fresno State @ Air Force | 69–63 | regular |
| 2021-02-09 | 2021 | Air Force @ UNLV | 64–69 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Air Force @ UNLV | 58–68 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Air Force @ San José State | 62–75 | regular |
| 2021-01-29 | 2021 | Air Force @ San José State | 58–59 | regular |
| 2021-01-25 | 2021 | San Diego State @ Air Force | 91–59 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | San Diego State @ Air Force | 98–61 | regular |
| 2021-01-19 | 2021 | Wyoming @ Air Force | 77–58 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Wyoming @ Air Force | 69–72 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Air Force @ Boise State | 69–80 | regular |
| 2021-01-07 | 2021 | Air Force @ Boise State | 59–78 | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Utah State @ Air Force | 72–53 | regular |
| 2020-12-31 | 2021 | Utah State @ Air Force | 83–48 | regular |
| 2020-12-23 | 2021 | Utah Valley @ Air Force | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-20 | 2021 | Air Force @ Nevada | 68–66 | regular |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | Air Force @ Nevada | 57–74 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | Air Force @ Drake | 53–81 | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | Lamar @ Air Force | 44–59 | regular |
| 2020-12-02 | 2021 | Denver @ Air Force | canceled | regular |
| 2020-11-29 | 2021 | Seattle U @ Air Force N | 63–45 | regular |
| 2020-11-28 | 2021 | Air Force @ Cal State Northridge N | 66–61 | regular |