Air Force Falcons
mens
Mountain West
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2024
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.06 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.14 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | -0.08 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 61.54 | possessions per game | 4.90 |
At season 2024's latest cutoff
(2024-04-09 01:20),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024.
Axis spans 0.72 to 1.32 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2024
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9 | 22 | 0.290 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Air Force | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-13 | 2024 | Air Force @ New Mexico N | 56–82 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-09 | 2024 | Colorado State @ Air Force | 82–73 | regular |
| 2024-03-06 | 2024 | Air Force @ Wyoming | 63–74 | regular |
| 2024-03-02 | 2024 | Air Force @ Utah State | 60–72 | regular |
| 2024-02-28 | 2024 | Boise State @ Air Force | 79–48 | regular |
| 2024-02-24 | 2024 | Air Force @ New Mexico | 78–77 | regular |
| 2024-02-22 | 2024 | UNLV @ Air Force | 72–43 | regular |
| 2024-02-14 | 2024 | Air Force @ San José State | 66–73 | regular |
| 2024-02-10 | 2024 | Fresno State @ Air Force | 68–66 | regular |
| 2024-02-07 | 2024 | San Diego State @ Air Force | 77–64 | regular |
| 2024-02-03 | 2024 | Air Force @ Boise State | 56–94 | regular |
| 2024-01-31 | 2024 | Wyoming @ Air Force | 83–72 | regular |
| 2024-01-28 | 2024 | Air Force @ Fresno State | 70–84 | regular |
| 2024-01-24 | 2024 | Air Force @ UNLV | 90–58 | regular |
| 2024-01-20 | 2024 | New Mexico @ Air Force | 85–66 | regular |
| 2024-01-17 | 2024 | Air Force @ Colorado State | 69–78 | regular |
| 2024-01-14 | 2024 | San José State @ Air Force | 70–67 | regular |
| 2024-01-10 | 2024 | Air Force @ Nevada | 54–67 | regular |
| 2024-01-02 | 2024 | Utah State @ Air Force | 88–60 | regular |
| 2023-12-21 | 2024 | Northern Colorado @ Air Force | 83–79 | regular |
| 2023-12-16 | 2024 | Air Force @ UT Arlington N | 73–76 | regular |
| 2023-12-09 | 2024 | Eastern Washington @ Air Force | 73–68 | regular |
| 2023-12-03 | 2024 | Air Force @ Portland | 80–58 | regular |
| 2023-11-26 | 2024 | Air Force @ South Dakota | 58–57 | regular |
| 2023-11-22 | 2024 | VMI @ Air Force | 54–64 | regular |
| 2023-11-19 | 2024 | Omaha @ Air Force | 56–58 | regular |
| 2023-11-17 | 2024 | William & Mary @ Air Force | 71–80 | regular |
| 2023-11-16 | 2024 | Lindenwood @ Air Force | 58–76 | regular |
| 2023-11-12 | 2024 | Air Force @ Delaware | 57–65 | regular |
| 2023-11-10 | 2024 | Air Force @ Long Island University | 82–67 | regular |
| 2023-11-07 | 2024 | Portland State @ Air Force | 62–55 | regular |