cbb·system

Elon Phoenix

mens CAA canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.01 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.08 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.07 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.42 possessions per game 4.59

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Elon AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 55.12 to 78.54 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221022 0.312

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdElon auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-06 2022 Elon @ UNC Wilmington N 58–75 conf_tournament
2022-02-26 2022 Elon @ Northeastern 67–54 regular
2022-02-25 2022 Elon @ Hofstra 81–55 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Drexel @ Elon 71–60 regular
2022-02-18 2022 Delaware @ Elon 71–62 regular
2022-02-16 2022 Hofstra @ Elon 97–64 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Elon @ Towson 50–86 regular
2022-02-11 2022 Elon @ James Madison 70–66 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Charleston @ Elon 66–64 regular
2022-02-04 2022 UNC Wilmington @ Elon 65–78 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Elon @ William & Mary 61–65 regular
2022-01-28 2022 William & Mary @ Elon 54–61 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Elon @ Delaware 77–80 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Elon @ Drexel 49–77 regular
2022-01-17 2022 James Madison @ Elon 67–90 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Towson @ Elon 59–54 regular
2022-01-13 2022 Elon @ UNC Wilmington 66–73 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Elon @ Charleston 61–65 regular
2021-12-31 2022 Hofstra @ Elon scheduled regular
2021-12-30 2022 Northeastern @ Elon 62–79 regular
2021-12-22 2022 Elon @ Arkansas 55–81 regular
2021-12-18 2022 Elon @ Duke 56–87 regular
2021-12-16 2022 Winthrop @ Elon 61–63 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Elon @ North Carolina 63–80 regular
2021-12-05 2022 High Point @ Elon 83–77 regular
2021-12-01 2022 Elon @ UNC Greensboro 61–74 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Jacksonville State @ Elon 93–81 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Temple @ Elon N 75–58 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Ole Miss @ Elon N 74–56 regular
2021-11-19 2022 Elon @ West Virginia N 68–87 regular
2021-11-14 2022 Bluefield University @ Elon 72–89 non_d1
2021-11-13 2022 Randolph College @ Elon 62–107 non_d1
2021-11-10 2022 Elon @ Florida 61–74 regular