cbb·system

Bradley Braves

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.84 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.26 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.85 possessions per game 4.73

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Bradley AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.52 to 1.11 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023428 0.125

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBradley auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-09 2023 Bradley @ Missouri State N 53–71 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Bradley @ Evansville 61–51 regular
2023-03-02 2023 Bradley @ Indiana State 71–87 regular
2023-02-25 2023 UIC @ Bradley 64–38 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Valparaiso @ Bradley 76–72 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Bradley @ Northern Iowa 50–76 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Bradley @ Drake 49–81 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Southern Illinois @ Bradley 83–59 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Missouri State @ Bradley 74–64 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Belmont @ Bradley 68–54 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Bradley @ Illinois State 52–84 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Bradley @ Valparaiso 71–78 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Bradley @ UIC 38–52 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Indiana State @ Bradley 71–60 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Evansville @ Bradley 73–56 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Bradley @ Murray State 48–83 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Illinois State @ Bradley 60–50 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Bradley @ Missouri State 54–87 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Bradley @ Southern Illinois 65–83 regular
2023-01-01 2023 Drake @ Bradley 87–58 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Northern Iowa @ Bradley 83–64 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Bradley @ Florida International 57–65 regular
2022-12-19 2023 Stephen F. Austin @ Bradley N 77–48 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Bradley @ Miami (OH) 56–82 regular
2022-12-07 2023 Bradley @ Eastern Illinois 72–61 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Bradley @ Loyola Chicago 54–57 regular
2022-11-29 2023 Kansas City @ Bradley 71–68 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Missouri Baptist @ Bradley 46–66 non_d1
2022-11-19 2023 McNeese @ Bradley 58–77 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Bradley @ Wisconsin 49–103 regular
2022-11-13 2023 South Dakota @ Bradley 71–53 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Bradley @ Missouri 38–83 regular