cbb·system

Bradley Braves

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.88 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.04 points per possession 0.19
PACE 71.96 possessions per game 4.69

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Bradley AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans 60.25 to 82.92 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192010 0.667

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBradley auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-15 2019 Bradley @ Illinois State N 55–61 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 Bradley @ Drake 63–95 regular
2019-03-08 2019 Bradley @ Northern Iowa 57–61 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Loyola Chicago @ Bradley 59–71 regular
2019-03-01 2019 Valparaiso @ Bradley 76–87 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Illinois State @ Bradley 65–75 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Bradley @ Missouri State 60–82 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Bradley @ Southern Illinois 55–62 regular
2019-02-10 2019 Evansville @ Bradley 63–81 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Indiana State @ Bradley 80–81 regular
2019-02-03 2019 Bradley @ Loyola Chicago 69–56 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Bradley @ Valparaiso 73–76 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Bradley @ Illinois State 79–68 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Southern Illinois @ Bradley 53–58 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Missouri State @ Bradley 68–56 regular
2019-01-13 2019 Bradley @ Indiana State 61–45 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Bradley @ Evansville 75–68 regular
2019-01-06 2019 Northern Iowa @ Bradley 81–78 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Drake @ Bradley 92–63 regular
2018-12-29 2019 Chicago State @ Bradley 59–89 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Bradley @ Purdue 61–74 regular
2018-12-19 2019 Bradley @ Cleveland State 67–65 regular
2018-12-14 2019 Bradley @ Omaha 80–60 regular
2018-12-04 2019 Western Illinois @ Bradley 68–82 regular
2018-12-01 2019 Oakland @ Bradley 64–73 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Eastern Illinois @ Bradley 64–67 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Bradley @ Florida Atlantic 80–59 regular
2018-11-23 2019 Delaware @ Bradley N 47–59 regular
2018-11-18 2019 Rockhurst @ Bradley 40–83 non_d1
2018-11-11 2019 Southeast Missouri State @ Bradley 79–85 regular