cbb·system

Portland Pilots

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.17 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.26 possessions per game 4.64

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Portland AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.59 to 1.16 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023239 0.719

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbPortland auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-19 2023 Portland @ Oklahoma N 63–85 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-07 2023 Portland @ Gonzaga N 64–60 conf_tournament
2023-03-06 2023 Pacific @ Portland N 72–75 conf_tournament
2023-02-27 2023 Portland @ BYU 61–49 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Portland @ San Diego 58–74 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Portland @ BYU postponed regular
2023-02-18 2023 Pacific @ Portland 46–57 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Saint Mary's @ Portland 66–77 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Portland @ Gonzaga 53–63 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Portland @ Santa Clara 80–68 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Portland @ San Francisco 83–80 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Loyola Marymount @ Portland 39–58 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Pepperdine @ Portland 57–70 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Portland @ Pacific 81–67 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Portland @ Saint Mary's 64–41 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Gonzaga @ Portland 73–66 regular
2023-01-08 2023 San Francisco @ Portland 46–77 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Santa Clara @ Portland 71–81 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Portland @ Pepperdine 86–76 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Portland @ Loyola Marymount 70–61 regular
2022-12-20 2023 BYU @ Portland 45–67 regular
2022-12-18 2023 San Diego @ Portland 81–84 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Portland State @ Portland 56–71 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Washington State @ Portland 69–63 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Portland @ Oregon 51–90 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Evergreen State @ Portland 35–87 non_d1
2022-11-26 2023 Portland @ Northeastern N 67–41 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Houston @ Portland N 60–66 regular
2022-11-21 2023 Portland @ UC San Diego 76–85 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Portland @ San Diego State 53–55 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Stanford @ Portland 87–47 regular
2022-11-10 2023 Hawai'i @ Portland 54–70 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Willamette @ Portland 56–92 non_d1