cbb·system

Portland Pilots

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.12 points per possession 0.11
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.21 points per possession 0.16
PACE 72.97 possessions per game 4.65

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Portland AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 62.90 to 164.62 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141416 0.467

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbPortland auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-07 2014 Portland @ Pacific N 72–84 conf_tournament
2014-03-01 2014 Saint Mary's @ Portland 76–72 regular
2014-02-28 2014 Pacific @ Portland 70–57 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Portland @ Gonzaga 61–72 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Portland @ San Diego 52–59 regular
2014-02-14 2014 Portland @ BYU 43–67 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Pepperdine @ Portland 59–78 regular
2014-02-07 2014 Loyola Marymount @ Portland 66–84 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Santa Clara @ Portland 55–75 regular
2014-01-31 2014 San Francisco @ Portland 74–73 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Portland @ Loyola Marymount 64–78 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Portland @ Pepperdine 53–43 regular
2014-01-19 2014 Portland @ San Francisco 82–72 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Portland @ Santa Clara 62–69 regular
2014-01-11 2014 BYU @ Portland 75–68 regular
2014-01-09 2014 San Diego @ Portland 51–72 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Gonzaga @ Portland 56–24 regular
2013-12-31 2014 Portland @ Saint Mary's 65–80 regular
2013-12-28 2014 Portland @ Pacific 73–65 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Portland @ Portland State 76–49 regular
2013-12-19 2014 Cal Poly @ Portland 76–83 regular
2013-12-14 2014 Portland @ Fresno State 67–76 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Boise State @ Portland 71–85 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Oregon State @ Portland 79–73 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Columbia @ Portland 42–58 regular
2013-11-25 2014 Seattle U @ Portland 63–70 regular
2013-11-19 2014 Portland @ Montana 61–68 regular
2013-11-15 2014 Portland @ Washington 91–77 regular
2013-11-13 2014 Portland @ Oregon 86–113 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Eastern Washington @ Portland 65–68 regular